Forian Inc. (NASDAQ: FORA)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Health Information Services CIK: 0001829280
Market Cap 89.52 Mn
P/B 2.88
P/E -105.00
P/S 3.19
ROIC (Qtr) -8.45
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 65.64
Total Debt (Qtr) 18,097.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00

About

Forian Inc., often referred to as FORA, is a prominent player in the healthcare industry, specializing in the provision of healthcare data. The company's primary objective is to connect organizations with analytics-ready information to enhance medical outcomes. Forian's inception took place on October 15, 2020, as a wholly owned subsidiary of Medical Outcomes Research Analytics, LLC, and its common stock began trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the ticker symbol FORA on March 3, 2021. Forian's core business activities revolve around delivering...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.41M provides robust 78.13x coverage of total debt 18097, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 4.66M provide 257.54x coverage of short-term debt 18097, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 40.20M provides 2221.62x coverage of total debt 18097, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 40.20M provide exceptional 9.94x coverage of deferred revenue 4.04M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Short-term investments of 23.56M provide solid 2.93x coverage of other current liabilities 8.04M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.41M barely covers its investment activities of 25.86M, with a coverage ratio of 0.05, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Short-term investments of 23.56M significantly exceed cash reserves of 4.66M, which is 5.06x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.41M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 4.04M, which is 0.35x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 1.41M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 4.33M, with a 0.33 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (432978) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 218717, with a -1.98 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Revision of Prior Period Breakdown of Revenue (2023)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Health Information Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TEM Tempus AI, Inc. 45.63 Bn -223.83 41.29 1.34 Bn
2 GEHC GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. 38.75 Bn 19.85 2.19 10.28 Bn
3 VEEV Veeva Systems Inc 37.30 Bn 43.36 12.11 0.09 Bn
4 DOCS Doximity, Inc. 7.81 Bn 30.87 12.57 0.01 Bn
5 BTSG BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. 7.70 Bn 59.42 0.62 2.70 Bn
6 HQY Healthequity, Inc. 7.32 Bn 38.14 5.67 1.03 Bn
7 WAY Waystar Holding Corp. 5.00 Bn 44.97 4.81 1.25 Bn
8 PRVA Privia Health Group, Inc. 2.79 Bn 153.67 1.37 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.21 2.77
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 64.35 -10.86
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5,027.29 161.93
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -210.12 -106.48
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -29.85 4.22
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 64.35 7.46
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 -14.93
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.24 1.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.88 10.57
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -105.00 147.14
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -8.65
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 5.00
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.57
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -1.64 -584.72
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -24.09
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 72.13 172.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -1.05
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 53.97 -17.73
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 46.83 39.85
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 63.51 -38.83
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 64.79 -4.52
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 71.43 2.60
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 168.42 -48.57
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 11.66 5.49
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.68 0.66
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.46 1.87
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.87 3.27
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 -0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -1.64 -584.72
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -1.64 -584.72
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -0.80 -435.80
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -1.54 -464.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -2.48 -461.74
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 55.40 44.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -3.00 -468.01