First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FGBI)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001408534
Market Cap 78.18 Mn
P/B 0.35
P/E -1.31
P/S 6.00
ROIC (Qtr) -13.68
Div Yield % 0.93
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -207.37
Total Debt (Qtr) 186.10 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.84

About

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. (FGBI) is a Louisiana-based bank holding company operating in the financial services industry. Its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Guaranty Bank, offers personalized commercial banking services to customers in Louisiana and Texas through 36 banking facilities. The company generates revenue through a variety of products and services, including commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, residential loans, construction and land development loans, agricultural loans, farmland loans, commercial leases,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.79B provides 20.39x coverage of total debt 186.10M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 35.34M exceeds capital expenditure of 141000 by 250.61x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 12.34M provide strong 4.34x coverage of intangibles 2.85M, indicating quality earnings retention.
  • Strong free cash flow of 35.34M provides 0.84x coverage of SG&A expenses 42.30M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 35.48M provides strong 251.61x coverage of capital expenditure 141000, enabling organic growth.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 35.48M barely covers its investment activities of 425.64M, with a coverage ratio of 0.08, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 35.48M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (531000) with a -66.81 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 35.48M provides minimal -2.76x coverage of tax expenses of (12.85M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (70.31M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 4.46M, with a -15.76 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 35.34M represents just -18.81x of debt issuance (1.88M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets -0.12 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -12.71 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt -2.42 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.41 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.85 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -12.76 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap -5.77 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev -34.59 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.35 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.31 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -20.91 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -1.00 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.04 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 1.71 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -102.52 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 105.08 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -92.86 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -551.00 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -418.45 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -527.27 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -527.27 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -591.67 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 6.38 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -86.35 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.02 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.84 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -505.10 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -539.36 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -539.36 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -458.70 115.63