Fat Brands, Inc (NASDAQ: FAT)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Restaurants CIK: 0001705012
Market Cap 6.97 Mn
P/B -0.01
P/E -0.03
P/S 0.01
ROIC (Qtr) -8.91
Div Yield % 35.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.34
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.48 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.53

About

FAT Brands, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol FAT, operates in the highly competitive restaurant industry, offering a range of quick-service, fast-casual, casual dining, and polished casual dining concepts worldwide. The company's primary business activities revolve around developing, marketing, acquiring, and managing these restaurant concepts, with a strong focus on franchising. FAT Brands has built a reputation for its "Fresh. Authentic. Tasty." values, which are at the heart of its marketing efforts and commitment to delivering quality...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of (65.08M) provides exceptional 23.59x coverage of minority interest expenses (2.76M), showing strong core operations.
  • Tangible assets of 341.29M provide exceptional 16.65x coverage of deferred revenue 20.49M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Free cash flow of (70.52M) provides excellent 29.31x coverage of dividends (2.41M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Retained earnings of (611.78M) represent substantial 1.04x of equity (585.82M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Cash reserves of 14.02M provide solid 0.86x coverage of other non-current liabilities 16.30M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (65.08M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 20.49M, which is -3.18x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (65.08M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 17.04M, with a -3.82 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (70.52M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 5.44M, with a -12.97 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (97.03M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 37.03M, with a -2.62 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of (70.52M) represents just -2.68x of debt issuance 26.31M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Restaurants
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MCD Mcdonalds Corp 222.05 Bn 26.39 8.45 55.82 Bn
2 SBUX Starbucks Corp 95.51 Bn 51.45 2.57 26.61 Bn
3 CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc 50.94 Bn 33.15 4.32 4.98 Bn
4 YUM Yum Brands Inc 43.17 Bn 29.83 5.36 11.55 Bn
5 QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. 22.43 Bn 24.33 2.42 15.64 Bn
6 DRI Darden Restaurants Inc 21.91 Bn 19.91 1.77 6.16 Bn
7 YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. 18.12 Bn 20.05 1.57 1.84 Bn
8 DPZ Dominos Pizza Inc 14.57 Bn 24.72 3.01 5.05 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.21 2.05
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -22.50 16.57
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.99 4.75
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -15.09 3.45
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -33.47 9.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -20.76 29.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 210.04 6.55
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.55 2.40
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -0.01 -1.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.03 13.35
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -20.58 -9.56
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -1.00 18.72
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.14 0.84
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -3.55 30.41
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -0.73 -86.85
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 80.36 -24.56
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -72.12 35.50
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -75.00 -0.72
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -196.82 -564.81
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -274.80 25.78
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -196.88 -507.68
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -51.91 -41.98
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -44.79 -126.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 18.09 5,724.78
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -7.96 23.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.47 0.99
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.04 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.78
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 1.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -2.53 0.05
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -0.73 -86.85
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -0.73 -86.85
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -10.40 7.71
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -16.90 -2.27
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -40.20 -1.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 24.70 34.04
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -40.50 -3.69