Dynex Capital Inc (NYSE: DX)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0000826675
Market Cap 1.60 Bn
P/B 0.82
P/E 9.10
P/S 6.93
ROIC (Qtr) 1.55
Div Yield % 13.99
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 308.99
Total Debt (Qtr) 11.75 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 6.00

About

Dynex Capital, Inc., often referred to as DX, operates in the real estate investment trust (REIT) industry, specializing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The company, founded in 1988 and headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia, is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol DX. Dynex Capital's primary business activities revolve around investing in MBS, which are securities that represent interests in pools of mortgages. The company's investment strategy aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its shareholders...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 121.66M provides strong 12.97x coverage of stock compensation 9.38M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 121.66M provides 2.77x coverage of SG&A expenses 43.94M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 121.66M provides strong 70.98x coverage of operating expenses 1.71M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 121.66M provides 2.77x coverage of SG&A expenses 43.94M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 121.66M provides solid 70.98x coverage of operating expenses 1.71M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 121.66M barely covers its investment activities of (5.67B), with a coverage ratio of -0.02, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 121.66M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (202.51M) with a -0.60 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 121.66M represents just 0.02x of debt issuance 5.33B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 121.66M is outpaced by equity issuance of 840.37M (0.14 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 43.94M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 13.57 Bn 10.12 7.94 107.02 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.33 Bn 16.49 30.46 95.01 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.34 Bn 17.32 3.51 21.43 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.69 Bn 7.32 1.14 34.97 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.26 Bn 30.37 6.41 15.46 Bn
6 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.84 Bn 35.07 15.78 16.56 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.60 Bn 9.10 6.93 11.75 Bn
8 ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc 1.50 Bn 9.82 2.84 10.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.67 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 78.01 -102.96
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.81 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 51.36 -260.73
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 43.79 -16.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 78.01 3.47
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 5.95 9.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 41.18 26.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.82 0.68
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.10 -4.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.83 -0.55
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 124.70 29.47
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.79 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 200.00 57.60
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 37.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 103.11 24.22
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 14.74 4.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 112.12 17.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 50.69 9.86
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 112.12 20.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 112.12 11.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 18.46 59.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 668.97 59.63
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 87.09 20.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.80 0.83
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 6.00 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 94.00 137.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 80.19 142.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 80.19 129.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 117.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 76.10 125.89