Ducommun Inc /De/ (NYSE: DCO)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Aerospace & Defense CIK: 0000030305
Market Cap 1.62 Bn
P/B 2.50
P/E -46.85
P/S 2.01
ROIC (Qtr) -2.96
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 5.53
Total Debt (Qtr) 271.47 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42

About

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) is a leading global provider of engineering and manufacturing services for high-performance products and high-cost-of-failure applications, primarily serving the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical, and other industries. The company operates through two primary business segments: Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The company's main business activities involve designing, engineering, and manufacturing high-reliability electronic and electromechanical products used in worldwide technology-driven markets,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 50.92M provide 2.51x coverage of short-term debt 20.30M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 866.94M provides 3.19x coverage of total debt 271.47M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 866.94M provide exceptional 25.17x coverage of deferred revenue 34.45M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 47.02M exceeds capital expenditure of 12.68M by 3.71x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 412.09M provide full 1.64x coverage of long-term debt 251.18M, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 59.71M barely covers its investment activities of (12.68M), with a coverage ratio of -4.71, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 50.92M against inventory of 192.82M, the 0.26 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 59.71M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 22.59M, with a 2.64 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 59.71M provides minimal -4.83x coverage of tax expenses of (12.36M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (34.16M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 42.32M, with a -0.81 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Aerospace & Defense
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GE General Electric Co 342.94 Bn 42.54 7.80 20.84 Bn
2 RTX RTX Corp 252.05 Bn 38.24 2.93 40.71 Bn
3 BA Boeing Co 174.43 Bn -17.16 2.16 53.35 Bn
4 LMT Lockheed Martin Corp 126.61 Bn 30.15 1.73 22.19 Bn
5 GD General Dynamics Corp 95.62 Bn 22.69 1.86 8.01 Bn
6 NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ 89.30 Bn 22.22 2.18 16.96 Bn
7 HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. 88.16 Bn 60.80 11.05 3.19 Bn
8 TDG TransDigm Group INC 80.97 Bn 43.39 9.17 30.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.47 3.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 30.83 58.38
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.78 98.04
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -53.88 19.42
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 286.86 33.60
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 39.14 91.66
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.14 1.13
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.28 11.27
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.50 4.81
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -46.85 31.79
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -3.75
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.95
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 14.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -2.67 -18.00
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 7.91 -50.32
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 36.63 1,609.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 0.75
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -156.04 -30.98
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -93.07 10.65
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -166.93 -26.90
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -238.57 -27.25
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -213.30 -99.21
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 65.10 6.61
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.13 -5.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.65 0.51
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 1.76
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.04 3.72
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.42 0.07
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -2.67 -18.00
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -2.67 -18.00
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 1.00 -345.84
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -4.24 -382.63
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -5.83 -387.93
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.80 -33.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -4.30 -389.13