DIEBOLD NIXDORF, Inc (NYSE: DBD)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0000028823
Market Cap 2.45 Bn
P/B 2.22
P/E 48.49
P/S 0.66
ROIC (Qtr) 8.00
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.95
Total Debt (Qtr) 934.00 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.84

About

Diebold Nixdorf, Inc. (DBD), a prominent player in the financial services and retail technology industry, has established a strong presence in over 100 countries, bolstered by a workforce of approximately 21,000 employees. The company's core business activities revolve around automating, digitizing, and transforming the banking and shopping experiences for consumers worldwide. Diebold Nixdorf operates through two primary segments: Banking and Retail. The Banking segment forms the backbone of the company's operations and offers a diverse range of...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 279.40M provides exceptional 103.48x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.70M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 279.40M provides strong 24.09x coverage of stock compensation 11.60M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 229.50M exceeds capital expenditure of 49.90M by 4.60x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 2.27B provide exceptional 7.56x coverage of deferred revenue 300.60M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 279.40M fully covers other non-current liabilities 113.40M by 2.46x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 279.40M barely covers its investment activities of (76.30M), with a coverage ratio of -3.66, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (76.30M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 89.30M, which is -0.85x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 262.60M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (18.40M), which is -14.27x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 279.40M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 300.60M, which is 0.93x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Free cash flow of 229.50M represents just -1.26x of debt issuance (182.50M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.83 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.06 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.31 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 18.38 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.20 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 13.46 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.26 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.84 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.22 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 48.49 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.68 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -16.59 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -21.47 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 15,749.63 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 2.22 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -25.59 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 18.78 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 13,800.00 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 215.25 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 0.14 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.99 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.21 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.36 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.84 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.68 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.68 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.20 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.56 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.85 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 24.70 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.40 -121.65