Casella Waste Systems Inc (NASDAQ: CWST)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Waste Management CIK: 0000911177
Market Cap 6.36 Bn
P/B 4.06
P/E 417.00
P/S 3.54
ROIC (Qtr) 1.58
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 17.91
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.23 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.79

About

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) operates in the solid waste services industry, providing resource management expertise and services to a diverse range of customers. These services include solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services. The company's primary products and services include waste collection, recycling, and disposal, as well as organics processing and disposal. Casella Waste Systems operates in nine states, including Vermont, New Hampshire, New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Maine, Pennsylvania,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 192.65M provide 5.36x coverage of short-term debt 35.98M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 342.97M provides strong 20.91x coverage of stock compensation 16.40M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 342.97M provides 1.56x coverage of SG&A expenses 220.49M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Tangible assets of 1.86B provide exceptional 38.37x coverage of deferred revenue 48.49M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 342.97M provides strong 7.07x coverage of deferred revenue 48.49M, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 342.97M barely covers its investment activities of (690.70M), with a coverage ratio of -0.50, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 192.65M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (426.93M), which is -0.45x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 192.51M relative to inventory of 24.14M (7.97 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 79.22M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 263.75M, with a 0.30 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 82.40M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 293.68M, with a 0.28 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Subsegments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Waste Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 WM Waste Management Inc 99.66 Bn 99.17 7.44 23.36 Bn
2 RSG Republic Services, Inc. 73.30 Bn 99.83 7.97 13.27 Bn
3 WCN Waste Connections, Inc. 42.09 Bn 67.66 4.50 8.96 Bn
4 GFL GFL Environmental Inc. 16.72 Bn 6.39 3.34 5.71 Bn
5 CLH Clean Harbors Inc 13.63 Bn 35.09 2.29 3.02 Bn
6 CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc 6.36 Bn 417.00 3.54 1.23 Bn
7 NVRI ENVIRI Corp 1.48 Bn -8.91 0.66 1.67 Bn
8 MEG Montrose Environmental Group, Inc. 0.86 Bn -30.94 1.04 0.37 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.25 1.86
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 21.52 1.99
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.98 141.65
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 89.55 10.83
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 20.27 -3.88
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 93.15 9.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.16 0.66
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.11 8.81
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.06 4.15
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 417.00 33.89
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 4.52
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.04
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.33 -114.06
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -39.02 -42.93
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -62.88 59.31
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.43
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 86.50 1,182.04
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 25.19 332.85
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 4.05 973.21
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 24.29 159.54
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 118.18 85.89
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 38.63 -19.83
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 19.14 10.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.55 0.60
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.65 0.60
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.51 1.57
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.79 0.73
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.33 -114.06
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.33 -114.06
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 20.90 -42.95
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.59 -56.49
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.13 -61.58
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 33.70 17.43
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.80 -71.04