Citi Trends Inc (NASDAQ: CTRN)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Apparel Retail CIK: 0001318484
Market Cap 338.91 Mn
P/B 3.14
P/E -20.69
P/S 0.42
ROIC (Qtr) -0.65
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.07
Total Debt (Qtr) 218.04 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.02

About

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) is a leading specialty value retailer of apparel, accessories, and home trends, predominantly operating in African American and multicultural communities across the United States. The company's business model is centered around providing high-quality, trend-right merchandise at everyday low prices, catering to the fashion and trend preferences of value-conscious customers. Citi Trends' main business activities revolve around offering a diverse range of products across six distinct categories: Ladies, Kids, Accessories &...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 29.97M provides exceptional 89.18x coverage of interest expenses 336000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 23.15M exceeds capital expenditure of 6.82M by 3.40x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 273.70M provide full 1.57x coverage of long-term debt 174.45M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 464.26M provides 37.91x coverage of working capital 12.24M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 464.26M provide robust 12.13x coverage of other current liabilities 38.28M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 29.97M barely covers its investment activities of (6.82M), with a coverage ratio of -4.40, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 29.97M provides minimal 1.89x coverage of tax expenses of 15.83M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (217000) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 65.88M, with a -0 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 65.88M relative to operating cash flow of 29.97M, which is 2.20x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 29.97M is outpaced by equity issuance of (10.09M) (-2.97 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Apparel Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TJX Tjx Companies Inc /De/ 175.80 Bn 34.34 2.98 13.19 Bn
2 ROST Ross Stores, Inc. 58.85 Bn 28.21 2.67 5.19 Bn
3 LULU lululemon athletica inc. 25.43 Bn 14.61 2.30 1.76 Bn
4 BURL Burlington Stores, Inc. 18.26 Bn 32.57 1.63 5.94 Bn
5 GAP Gap Inc 10.00 Bn 11.75 0.65 5.52 Bn
6 URBN Urban Outfitters Inc 7.11 Bn 14.53 1.18 1.18 Bn
7 ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co /De/ 6.17 Bn 11.82 1.19 1.13 Bn
8 BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. 5.78 Bn 27.75 2.79 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.09 1.35
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 16.89 8.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.32 4.33
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -2,331.80 -60.97
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.94 6.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 21.86 22.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.49 2.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.63 1.11
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.14 3.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -20.69 195.16
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.88
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 12.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 16.33
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -0.65 13.58
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 37.55 -5.40
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 31.45 89.63
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 1.25
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 74.49 13.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 104.96 -16.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 99.36 10.85
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 98.38 6.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 35.62 10.94
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 215.93 -129.32
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 12.10 -1.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.72 1.40
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.38
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.07 1.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.02 1.31
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -0.65 13.58
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -0.65 13.58
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.20 2.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -0.03 -1.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -0.07 -2.76
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 39.50 40.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -2.00 -4.02