Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: CPSS)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0000889609
Market Cap 207.23 Mn
P/B 0.67
P/E 10.63
P/S 0.48
ROIC (Qtr) 4.70
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.80
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.44 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 11.17

About

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. (CPS), a specialty finance company, operates primarily in the United States, providing indirect financing to sub-prime customers. The company's main business activities involve purchasing and servicing retail automobile contracts originated by franchised and independent dealers. CPS facilitates sales to customers who might not obtain financing from traditional sources, offering an alternative source of financing for dealers. The company generates revenue by purchasing automobile contracts from dealers and servicing...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 281.25M provides strong 114.75x coverage of stock compensation 2.45M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 280.52M exceeds capital expenditure of 721000 by 389.08x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 281.25M provides 3.37x coverage of SG&A expenses 83.52M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Retained earnings of 281.40M represent substantial 0.91x of equity 307.56M, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 281.25M provides strong 390.08x coverage of capital expenditure 721000, enabling organic growth.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 281.25M barely covers its investment activities of (725.13M), with a coverage ratio of -0.39, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 281.25M barely covers operating expenses of (2.28M) with a -123.19 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Retained earnings of 281.40M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (10000), which is -28140.40x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 281.25M is outpaced by equity issuance of (6.12M) (-45.96 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Cash position of 151.89M provides only 0.67x coverage of interest expenses of 225.24M, indicating potential refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.90 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.23 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.00 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.58 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.53 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 12.26 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 16.60 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 7.99 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.67 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 10.63 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.12 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -13.01 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -45.57 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 18.31 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 21.21 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 21.27 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -5.97 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -10.00 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 26.83 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.52 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.46
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 11.17 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.12 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.12 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 59.10 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 58.88 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.54 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 77.80 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.50 -23.76