Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (NASDAQ: COKE)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic CIK: 0000317540
Market Cap 15.28 Bn
P/B 118.01
P/E 534.08
P/S 9.79
ROIC (Qtr) 19.38
Div Yield % 0.21
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.95
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.92 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.17
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About

Coca-Cola Consolidated, a Delaware corporation with the stock symbol COKE, operates in the nonalcoholic beverage industry. The company has a rich history dating back to 1902 and is the largest Coca-Cola bottler in the United States. It is based in the United States and distributes, markets, and manufactures nonalcoholic beverages in 14 states and the District of Columbia. Coca-Cola Consolidated generates revenue primarily through the sale of beverages, including sparkling and still products, to retail customers. Its portfolio of brands includes...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 891.38M provides robust 0.47x coverage of total debt 1.92B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.53B provide 4.09x coverage of short-term debt 375.04M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 891.38M provides exceptional 41.45x coverage of interest expenses 21.51M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 604.23M exceeds capital expenditure of 287.15M by 2.10x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Free cash flow of 604.23M provides exceptional 28.10x coverage of interest expense 21.51M, showing strong debt service ability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 891.38M barely covers its investment activities of (235.92M), with a coverage ratio of -3.78, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 891.38M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (87.21M) with a -10.22 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 710.80M relative to inventory of 354.86M (2 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 604.23M represents just -261.01x of debt issuance (2.31M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 891.38M is outpaced by equity issuance of (197.34M) (-4.52 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KO Coca Cola Co 359.59 Bn 41.22 7.57 47.42 Bn
2 PEP Pepsico Inc 221.63 Bn 26.90 2.36 49.18 Bn
3 MNST Monster Beverage Corp 80.88 Bn 46.84 10.14 0.11 Bn
4 CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS plc 48.53 Bn 20.84 1.97 12.58 Bn
5 COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. 15.28 Bn 534.08 9.79 1.92 Bn
6 CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. 10.33 Bn 399.18 4.86 0.86 Bn
7 KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 5.72 Bn 8.07 0.94 15.85 Bn
8 FIZZ National Beverage Corp 3.42 Bn 18.34 2.85 0.07 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.79 3.00
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 144.15 25.34
EV to Debt EV to Debt 8.25 82.79
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 187.91 35.67
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 105.62 24.62
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 271.27 40.15
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.03 2.70
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 10.12 3.95
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 118.01 15.38
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 534.08 112.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 7.02 -230.19
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 14.30 -1.98
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.00 0.88
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 14.33 30.31
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 39.63 3.00
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 31.09 -59.79
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 23.99 125.83
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -50.00 -6.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 19.48 -5.50
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 6.47 4.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 18.81 70.95
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 14.87 3.85
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 21.70 5.85
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 32.12 19.77
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 4.42 12.14
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.25 1.15
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.07 0.16
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.10 0.76
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.04 1.78
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.17 1.22
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 39.63 3.00
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 39.63 3.00
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.70 9.71
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.05 6.85
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.75 5.02
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 39.80 40.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.70 2.49