Cme Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CME)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Financial Data & Stock Exchanges CIK: 0001156375
Market Cap 96.82 Bn
P/B 3.43
P/E 26.05
P/S 15.13
ROIC (Qtr) 1.81
Div Yield % 4.44
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.95
Total Debt (Qtr) 152.46 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.41

About

CME Group Inc., commonly known as CME, is a prominent financial market infrastructure company operating on a global scale. The company's primary focus is on enabling clients to trade futures, options, cash, and over-the-counter (OTC) products, optimize portfolios, and analyze data. CME provides primary price discovery and referential pricing information through its market data, which is available in various formats including real-time, historical, and derived data for customers in both listed and cash products. CME's main business activities encompass...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.16B provides exceptional 88.16x coverage of minority interest expenses 47.20M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.16B provides exceptional 24.42x coverage of interest expenses 170.40M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 4.08B exceeds capital expenditure of 77.20M by 52.90x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.16B provides strong 44.74x coverage of stock compensation 93M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Short-term investments of 149.16B provide solid 316.63x coverage of other current liabilities 471.10M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.16B barely covers its investment activities of (78.40M), with a coverage ratio of -53.08, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.16B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (3.90B) with a -1.07 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Short-term investments of 149.16B significantly exceed cash reserves of 2.45B, which is 60.96x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • Free cash flow of 4.08B represents just -434.46x of debt issuance (9.40M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High financing cash flow of 45.63B relative to working capital of 3.21B, which is 14.20x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SPGI S&P Global Inc. 157.13 Bn 37.25 10.47 11.87 Bn
2 CME Cme Group Inc. 96.82 Bn 26.05 15.13 152.46 Bn
3 ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 91.82 Bn 29.04 7.33 19.51 Bn
4 MCO Moodys Corp /De/ 90.39 Bn 40.28 12.05 7.36 Bn
5 COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. 62.10 Bn 19.30 8.10 7.59 Bn
6 NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. 54.56 Bn 33.58 6.68 9.55 Bn
7 MSCI MSCI Inc. 43.97 Bn 35.94 14.39 5.62 Bn
8 CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. 25.92 Bn 26.50 5.61 1.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.28 2.79
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 57.78 33.08
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.58 17.54
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 48.35 18.27
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 53.56 20.66
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 58.87 -39.00
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.48 1.08
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 37.58 29.85
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.43 -0.11
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 26.05 23.23
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.95 2.12
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 103.60 32.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 10.70 2.63
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 94.24 26.82
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 29.18 8.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 12.87 -11.26
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 5.37 21.19
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 9.18 1.08
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 8.53 10.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 7.20 15.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 8.87 17.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 8.95 21.11
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 8.39 31.00
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 12.56 30.56
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.84 13.67
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.61
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.92 0.24
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.51
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.02 1.97
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.41 0.56
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 29.18 8.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 29.18 8.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 82.90 -985.15
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 77.72 -991.90
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 75.06 -1,071.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 72.61
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 58.10 -1,440.85