Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (NYSE: CMCL)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Gold CIK: 0000766011
Market Cap 572.68 Mn
P/B 2.28
P/E 11.55
P/S 2.38
ROIC (Qtr) 22.30
Div Yield % 1.44
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 52.43
Total Debt (Qtr) 23.80 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.09

About

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc, known in the market as CMCL, operates in the gold mining industry, with its main focus on the operation of a gold mine and the exploration and development of mineral properties for precious metals. The company has a rich history of gold mining in Zimbabwe, where it has been incorporated since 1992. Caledonia's revenue is generated primarily through the sale of gold, with its primary products being gold bars and gold dust. The company's customer base is primarily made up of gold refineries, bullion dealers, and other gold...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 68.51M provides robust 2.88x coverage of total debt 23.80M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 393.26M provides 16.52x coverage of total debt 23.80M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 68.51M provides exceptional 21.62x coverage of interest expenses 3.17M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 68.51M provides 3.67x coverage of SG&A expenses 18.68M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 393.26M provides 10.20x coverage of working capital 38.57M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 68.51M barely covers its investment activities of (39.56M), with a coverage ratio of -1.73, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 68.51M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (17.95M) with a -3.82 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Tax assets of 303000 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 56.95M, which is 0.01x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • Short-term investments of 18.50M exceed receivables of 11.09M by 1.67x, indicating potentially inefficient capital allocation given collection cycle needs.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 18.68M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Segments [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Counterparties [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Gold
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NEM NEWMONT Corp /DE/ 121.63 Bn 16.92 5.66 5.65 Bn
2 AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd 96.06 Bn 27.86 9.09 0.34 Bn
3 B Barrick Mining Corp 82.76 Bn 23.10 5.67 4.71 Bn
4 WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. 56.61 Bn 56.52 30.93 0.01 Bn
5 FNV FRANCO NEVADA Corp 44.11 Bn 47.96 28.52 0.00 Bn
6 KGC Kinross Gold Corp 38.43 Bn 21.85 5.96 1.24 Bn
7 PAAS Pan American Silver Corp 19.78 Bn 31.19 6.08 0.86 Bn
8 AGI Alamos Gold Inc 17.45 Bn 32.41 10.85 0.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.44 3.17
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.29 -11.55
EV to Debt EV to Debt 23.85 548.67
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.59 12.24
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.85 3.14
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.71 12.17
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.99 1.72
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.36 7.50
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.28 5.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 11.55 -1.39
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.76 1.54
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 16.60 5.40
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.42 0.17
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 29.58 10.25
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 27.18 406.21
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -46.07 -97.36
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 117.52 130.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -5.27
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 768.17 518.35
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA Growth (1y) % 0.00 53.19
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 247.82 679.30
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 281.58 144.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 927.24 224.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 620.32 171.65
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 77.90 84.25
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.61 0.26
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.16 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.32 3.14
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.78 4.90
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.09 0.27
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 27.18 406.21
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 27.18 406.21
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % 0.00 -19.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 35.83 -44.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 34.51 -34.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 49.30 30.59
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 20.60 -40.44