Clearwater Paper Corp (NYSE: CLW)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Paper & Paper Products CIK: 0001441236
Market Cap 281.68 Mn
P/B 0.36
P/E 1.98
P/S 0.18
ROIC (Qtr) -5.10
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.45
Total Debt (Qtr) 336.10 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.43
Add ratio to table...

About

Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) operates in the paper and packaging industry, a sector marked by stiff competition, fluctuating raw material costs, and stringent environmental regulations. The company's main business activities revolve around the production and supply of bleached paperboard and consumer and parent roll tissue. These activities span various countries and regions, with a significant focus on the North American market. Clearwater Paper Corp generates revenue primarily from the sale of its two main product categories: bleached paperboard...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 34.40M provide 57.33x coverage of short-term debt 600000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.56B provides 4.64x coverage of total debt 336.10M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Retained earnings of 823.90M provide full 2.46x coverage of long-term debt 335.50M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 1.56B provides 6.10x coverage of working capital 255.50M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 1.56B provide robust 15587x coverage of other current liabilities 100000, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (27.80M) barely covers its investment activities of 873.50M, with a coverage ratio of -0.03, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 34.40M against inventory of 283.20M, the 0.12 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Cash reserves of 34.40M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 980.40M, which is 0.04x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (27.80M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 2.50M, with a -11.12 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (134.70M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 106.90M, with a -1.26 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Paper & Paper Products
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SUZ Suzano S.A. 13.57 Bn 5.54 1.48 18.56 Bn
2 SLVM Sylvamo Corp 2.07 Bn 17.58 0.57 0.81 Bn
3 MAGN Magnera Corp 0.49 Bn -3.69 0.15 1.98 Bn
4 CLW Clearwater Paper Corp 0.28 Bn 1.98 0.18 0.34 Bn
5 MERC Mercer International Inc. 0.14 Bn -0.28 0.07 1.61 Bn
6 ITP It Tech Packaging, Inc. 0.00 Bn -0.21 0.03 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.36 0.52
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -20.29 31.57
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.68 1.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 3.94 14.32
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 22.75 5.50
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -4.19 2.55
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.00 3.68
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.36 0.59
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.36 1.28
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 1.98 3.49
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -7.86
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.42
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.33
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 9.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.37 0.06
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 1.75 14.26
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -3.10 21.24
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -5.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 213.36 -165.64
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -56.18 132.21
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 519.91 -132.43
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 5,354.17 853.95
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 883.53 120.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -352.25 -94.28
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 16.24 -21.66
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.00 0.76
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 0.50
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.10 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.43 4.86
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.37 0.06
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.37 0.06
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.00 17.55
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.20 47.08
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.10 1.88
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 7.30 12.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.10 -0.58