Certara, Inc. (NASDAQ: CERT)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Health Information Services CIK: 0001827090
Market Cap 1.42 Bn
P/B 1.34
P/E 130.71
P/S 3.42
ROIC (Qtr) -10.91
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 302.51 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.28

About

Certara, Inc., a leading provider of biosimulation technology and solutions, operates under the ticker symbol CERT in the pharmaceutical industry. The company's main business activities include developing and providing biosimulation software and technology-enabled services that help pharmaceutical companies make better decisions during the drug development process. Certara's offerings are particularly valuable in the highly regulated and competitive pharmaceutical sector, where efficient decision-making can significantly impact a company's success. The...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 172.71M provide 57.57x coverage of short-term debt 3M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 91.51M exceeds capital expenditure of 25.36M by 3.61x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 116.88M provides solid 0.86x coverage of current liabilities 135.52M, showing strong operational health.
  • Cash reserves of 172.71M provide robust 1.27x coverage of current liabilities 135.52M, indicating strong short-term solvency.
  • Free cash flow of 91.51M provides healthy 0.68x coverage of current liabilities 135.52M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 116.88M barely covers its investment activities of (116.69M), with a coverage ratio of -1, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (116.69M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 37.53M, which is -3.11x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 172.71M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (91.33M), which is -1.89x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 116.88M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 32.62M, with a 3.58 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 32.33M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 74.27M, with a 0.44 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Health Information Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 TEM Tempus AI, Inc. 45.63 Bn -223.83 41.29 1.34 Bn
2 GEHC GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. 38.75 Bn 19.85 2.19 10.28 Bn
3 VEEV Veeva Systems Inc 37.30 Bn 43.36 12.11 0.09 Bn
4 DOCS Doximity, Inc. 7.81 Bn 30.87 12.57 0.01 Bn
5 BTSG BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. 7.70 Bn 59.42 0.62 2.70 Bn
6 HQY Healthequity, Inc. 7.32 Bn 38.14 5.67 1.03 Bn
7 WAY Waystar Holding Corp. 5.00 Bn 44.97 4.81 1.25 Bn
8 PRVA Privia Health Group, Inc. 2.79 Bn 153.67 1.37 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.02 2.77
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.37 -10.86
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.17 161.93
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 48.35 -106.48
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 15.56 4.22
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 17.08 7.46
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 -14.93
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.76 1.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.34 10.57
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 130.71 147.14
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -8.65
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 5.00
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.57
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.65 -584.72
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -29.57 -24.09
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -25.88 172.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -1.05
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 401.93 -17.73
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 107.35 39.85
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 445.32 -38.83
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 140.02 -4.52
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 135.00 2.60
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 162.60 -48.57
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 14.77 5.49
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.66
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.27 1.87
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.09 3.27
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.28 -0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.65 -584.72
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.65 -584.72
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 25.70 -435.80
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 7.78 -464.70
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.06 -461.74
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 61.40 44.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.60 -468.01