Cava Group, Inc. (NYSE: CAVA)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Restaurants CIK: 0001639438
Market Cap 6.80 Bn
P/B 8.84
P/E 49.46
P/S 6.00
ROIC (Qtr) 3.36
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 19.86
Total Debt (Qtr) 443.34 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58

About

CAVA Group, Inc., popularly known as CAVA, is a company that operates in the fast-casual restaurant industry. With its headquarters in the United States, the company has established a strong presence in 24 states and Washington D.C., with a total of 309 restaurants. CAVA's main business activities involve the provision of Mediterranean-inspired cuisine, including bowls, pitas, and dips, to a diverse customer base. The company has a reputation for offering high-quality, fresh ingredients that are carefully sourced from over 50 trusted grower, rancher,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 284.57M provide 5.85x coverage of short-term debt 48.67M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.39M provides strong 11.29x coverage of stock compensation 15.44M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.32B provides 2.97x coverage of total debt 443.34M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Short-term investments of 103.11M provide solid 1.31x coverage of other current liabilities 78.53M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.39M provides solid 1.10x coverage of current liabilities 158.29M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 174.39M barely covers its investment activities of (256.55M), with a coverage ratio of -0.68, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • High receivables of 17.21M relative to inventory of 8.58M (2.01 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 174.39M provides minimal -2.68x coverage of tax expenses of (64.99M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 25.38M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 149.01M, with a 0.17 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 55.97M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 70.23M, with a 0.80 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Restaurants
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MCD Mcdonalds Corp 222.05 Bn 26.39 8.45 55.82 Bn
2 SBUX Starbucks Corp 95.51 Bn 51.45 2.57 26.61 Bn
3 CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc 50.94 Bn 33.15 4.32 4.98 Bn
4 YUM Yum Brands Inc 43.17 Bn 29.83 5.36 11.55 Bn
5 QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. 22.43 Bn 24.33 2.42 15.64 Bn
6 DRI Darden Restaurants Inc 21.91 Bn 19.91 1.77 6.16 Bn
7 YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. 18.12 Bn 20.05 1.57 1.84 Bn
8 DPZ Dominos Pizza Inc 14.57 Bn 24.72 3.01 5.05 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 5.25 2.05
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 39.80 16.57
EV to Debt EV to Debt 15.66 4.75
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 124.01 3.45
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 54.80 9.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 273.45 29.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 6.55
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.13 2.40
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 8.84 -1.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 49.46 13.35
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -9.56
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 18.72
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.84
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 30.41
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -3.40 -86.85
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -33.48 -24.56
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -22.49 35.50
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.72
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 163.71 -564.81
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 32.90 25.78
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 36.13 -507.68
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 32.00 -41.98
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 192.68 -126.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -41.72 5,724.78
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 22.72 23.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.86 0.99
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.80 0.78
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.69 1.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58 0.05
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -3.40 -86.85
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -3.40 -86.85
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.10 7.71
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.94 -2.27
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.40 -1.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.00 34.04
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.10 -3.69