Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (NYSE: AXTA)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Specialty Chemicals CIK: 0001616862
Market Cap 7.55 Bn
P/B 3.22
P/E 19.97
P/S 1.48
ROIC (Qtr) 6.60
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.74
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.20 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.36
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About

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd., often recognized by its stock symbol AXTA, operates in the coatings industry, specializing in high-performance solutions. The company is a global entity, with a presence in numerous countries and regions. Its operations are divided into two segments: Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings, both of which serve four distinct end-markets worldwide. The Performance Coatings segment is a significant contributor to Axalta's business. This segment is responsible for providing high-quality, sustainable liquid and powder...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 660M provide 33x coverage of short-term debt 20M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 649M provides strong 25.96x coverage of stock compensation 25M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 649M provides exceptional 649x coverage of minority interest expenses 1M, showing strong core operations.
  • Robust free cash flow of 453M exceeds capital expenditure of 196M by 2.31x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 4.66B provides 3.22x coverage of working capital 1.45B, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 649M barely covers its investment activities of (212M), with a coverage ratio of -3.06, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (212M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 71M, which is -2.99x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 660M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (48M), which is -13.75x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 721M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 295M, with a 2.44 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 453M represents just -1.97x of debt issuance (230M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Chemicals
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 LIN Linde Plc 259.51 Bn 110.86 9.26 25.93 Bn
2 SHW Sherwin Williams Co 101.80 Bn 102.98 9.01 13.58 Bn
3 ECL Ecolab Inc. 86.78 Bn 76.91 6.25 8.67 Bn
4 APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. 58.65 Bn 49.06 6.08 18.14 Bn
5 PPG Ppg Industries Inc 31.75 Bn 25.73 2.06 7.91 Bn
6 DD DuPont de Nemours, Inc. 21.19 Bn -27.20 3.09 3.19 Bn
7 IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc 21.16 Bn -8.98 1.87 6.60 Bn
8 ALB Albemarle Corp 19.87 Bn -29.33 3.86 3.19 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.36 1.62
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 15.93 10.83
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.23 16.61
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.34 -61.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.04 -9.02
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 22.83 6.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.37 5.10
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.02 72.68
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.22 5.37
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 19.97 14.34
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -5.46
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -74.36
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 1.27
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 9.98
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 4.10 -9.95
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -40.00 -1,110.27
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 10.74 83.68
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -3.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -9.51 -80.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.46 48.27
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 2.85 11.23
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 9.88 -62.96
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -1.69 -125.48
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 3.90 4.34
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -2.00 193.82
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.67 0.70
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.40
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.48 1.24
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.06 3.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.36 0.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 4.10 -9.95
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 4.10 -9.95
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 19.90 -320.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 14.09 -360.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.65 -366.51
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 34.40 29.06
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 7.40 -367.54