Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVTX)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Biotechnology CIK: 0001534120
Market Cap 113.09 Mn
P/B 1.24
P/E -1.13
P/S 588.98
ROIC (Qtr) -67.83
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 0.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00
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About

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., frequently referred to as Avalo, operates in the biotechnology industry, specializing in the treatment of immune dysregulation. The company's story began in 2011 when it started its operations in Delaware, culminating in its initial public offering in October 2015. Avalo's primary business activities revolve around advancing its pipeline of compounds through development to regulatory approval, developing a robust go-to-market strategy, opportunistically out-licensing rights to indications or geographies, and acquiring...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of (52.26M) provides exceptional 42.97x coverage of interest expenses (1.22M), showing strong debt service capability.
  • Free cash flow of (52.26M) provides exceptional 42.97x coverage of interest expense (1.22M), showing strong debt service ability.
  • Short-term investments of 84.65M provide solid 11.29x coverage of other current liabilities 7.50M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 114.60M provide robust 15.28x coverage of other current liabilities 7.50M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 27.05M provide robust 3.39x coverage of current liabilities 7.97M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (52.26M) barely covers its investment activities of (84.12M), with a coverage ratio of 0.62, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (84.12M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 45M, which is -1.87x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Short-term investments of 84.65M significantly exceed cash reserves of 27.05M, which is 3.13x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (52.26M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 12.02M, with a -4.35 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of (100.94M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 396000, with a -254.91 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Biotechnology
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. 1,204.25 Bn -1,306.67 0.00 0.01 Bn
2 ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. 486.51 Bn 7,097.20 97.84 1.90 Bn
3 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma 122.05 Bn 30.87 10.17 1.85 Bn
4 REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 83.00 Bn 18.42 5.79 2.71 Bn
5 ARGX Argenx Se 50.78 Bn 33.71 26,480.10 -
6 ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 43.66 Bn 139.17 11.76 2.97 Bn
7 BNTC Benitec Biopharma Inc. 43.61 Bn -941.82 0.00 0.00 Bn
8 INSM INSMED Inc 28.88 Bn -24.40 64.61 0.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.57 11.06
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -1.35 26.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.00 762.61
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -0.70 -13.49
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -1.07 8.61
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -1.35 25.66
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.63 203.37
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 368.62 156.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.24 20.59
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.13 -0.88
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -12.64
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.14
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 83.01 956.66
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 7.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -66.97 753.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1,157.58 -57.63
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -5.39 8.83
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -1,154.29 -67.21
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1,151.78 -23.74
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 27.98 -7.02
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -42.08 -40.48
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -92.96 264.51
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 3.39 3.92
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 14.28 7.33
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.48
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 83.01 956.66
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 83.01 956.66
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -52,369.30 -17,888.70
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -52,575.52 -18,246.34
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -51,942.19 -19,108.08
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 54.70 -10.30
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -52,019.80 -19,056.96