AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTS)

Sector: Technology Industry: Communication Equipment CIK: 0001780312
Market Cap 19.88 Bn
P/B 16.03
P/E -65.43
P/S 1,072.82
ROIC (Qtr) -16.49
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1,239.91
Total Debt (Qtr) 722.48 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58

About

AST SpaceMobile, Inc., with ticker symbol ASTS, operates in the telecommunications industry, specifically focusing on building the first and only global Cellular Broadband network in space. This network aims to provide direct access to everyday smartphones and other devices for commercial and government use (2G/4G-LTE/5G devices). The company's operations primarily involve the development and deployment of a constellation of high-powered, large phased-array satellites in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) using low band and middle band spectrum controlled by...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.22B provide 110.08x coverage of short-term debt 11.08M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.34B provides 3.23x coverage of total debt 722.48M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 2.34B provide exceptional 101.32x coverage of deferred revenue 23.07M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Tangible assets of 2.34B provide robust 32.56x coverage of other current liabilities 71.78M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 1.22B provide robust 9.13x coverage of current liabilities 133.57M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (164.93M) barely covers its investment activities of (779.04M), with a coverage ratio of 0.21, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (779.04M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 24.41M, which is -31.92x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of (164.93M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 23.07M, which is -7.15x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (164.93M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 43.76M, with a -3.77 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (943.96M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 779.04M, with a -1.21 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Communication Equipment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. 306.02 Bn 29.63 5.30 28.09 Bn
2 MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. 63.92 Bn 30.21 5.65 9.81 Bn
3 HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co 35.43 Bn -600.50 1.03 22.37 Bn
4 UI Ubiquiti Inc. 33.47 Bn 42.27 12.14 0.17 Bn
5 CIEN Ciena Corp 33.16 Bn 268.82 6.95 1.58 Bn
6 LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. 25.28 Bn 224.75 13.73 3.28 Bn
7 ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 19.88 Bn -65.43 1,072.82 0.72 Bn
8 ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corp 12.46 Bn 24.33 2.37 2.32 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 7.62 2.22
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -117.91 10.78
EV to Debt EV to Debt 26.92 25.00
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -71.60 32.18
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -84.44 10.60
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -20.60 -3.32
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.98 1.17
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1,049.41 27.87
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 16.03 5.35
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -65.43 2.67
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.91
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -25.01
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.22
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -8.83 -12.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -580.74 -73.93
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 135.14 463.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.39
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -0.25 204.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -35.12 -1.04
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -0.89 238.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -3.24 173.82
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 48.13 8.68
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -298.22 20.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 420.80 41.66
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.76
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 9.13 1.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 9.56 2.69
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.58 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -8.83 -12.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -8.83 -12.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -1,229.10 -40.66
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -1,465.75 -52.32
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -1,631.81 -59.46
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 70.30 39.35
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1,639.60 -60.72