Ashland Inc. (NYSE: ASH)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Specialty Chemicals CIK: 0001674862
Market Cap 2.74 Bn
P/B 1.46
P/E -3.96
P/S 1.52
ROIC (Qtr) -16.55
Div Yield % 2.76
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -4.69
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.49 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.79
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About

Ashland Inc., a Delaware corporation, operates in the specialty additives and materials industry under the stock symbol ASH. The company is renowned for its proactive approach towards sustainability and serves a diverse range of consumer and industrial markets, including architectural coatings, construction, energy, food and beverage, nutraceuticals, personal care, and pharmaceuticals. Ashland's operations span across approximately 100 countries, with a global workforce of around 3,800 employees. Ashland's primary business activities are divided...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 304M provide 16x coverage of short-term debt 19M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 243M provides strong 22.09x coverage of stock compensation 11M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 174M exceeds capital expenditure of 69M by 2.52x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 3.26B provides 4.14x coverage of working capital 788M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 3.26B provide robust 18.13x coverage of other current liabilities 180M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 243M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (76M) with a -3.20 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of 17M provide weak support for R&D spending of 53M, which is 0.32x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating earnings of (595M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 234M, with a -2.54 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 234M relative to operating cash flow of 243M, which is 0.96x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 243M barely covers operating expenses of 743M with a 0.33 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Chemicals
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 LIN Linde Plc 259.51 Bn 110.86 9.26 25.93 Bn
2 SHW Sherwin Williams Co 101.80 Bn 102.98 9.01 13.58 Bn
3 ECL Ecolab Inc. 86.78 Bn 76.91 6.25 8.67 Bn
4 APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. 58.65 Bn 49.06 6.08 18.14 Bn
5 PPG Ppg Industries Inc 31.75 Bn 25.73 2.06 7.91 Bn
6 DD DuPont de Nemours, Inc. 21.19 Bn -27.20 3.09 3.19 Bn
7 IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc 21.16 Bn -8.98 1.87 6.60 Bn
8 ALB Albemarle Corp 19.87 Bn -29.33 3.86 3.19 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.89 1.62
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 16.51 10.83
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.70 16.61
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -6.74 -61.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -10.79 -9.02
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 23.06 6.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.47 5.10
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.22 72.68
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.46 5.37
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -3.96 14.34
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -9.09 -5.46
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -10.90 -74.36
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.66 1.27
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 43.48 9.98
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -14.51 -9.95
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 44.35 -1,110.27
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 38.81 83.68
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 3.12 -3.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -2,753.75 -80.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -764.29 48.27
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -127.97 11.23
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -140.00 -62.96
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -2,433.33 -125.48
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 190.00 4.34
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.08 193.82
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.40 0.70
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.24 0.40
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.83 1.24
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.15 3.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.79 0.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -14.51 -9.95
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -14.51 -9.95
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -20.00 -320.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -32.96 -360.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -35.24 -366.51
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 30.10 29.06
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -38.30 -367.54