Alto Neuroscience, Inc. (NYSE: ANRO)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Biotechnology CIK: 0001999480
Market Cap 431.99 Mn
P/B 3.87
P/E -6.94
P/S 0.00
ROIC (Qtr) -46.09
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 26.40 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24

About

Alto Neuroscience, Inc., (ANRO) operates in the biopharmaceutical industry, with a specific focus on redefining psychiatry by leveraging neurobiology to develop personalized and highly effective treatment options. The company's primary products are its clinical-stage assets, including ALTO-100, ALTO-300, ALTO-101, ALTO-203, and ALTO-202, which are being developed for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD), schizophrenia, cognitive impairment associated with schizophrenia, MDD with higher levels of anhedonia, and MDD, respectively. Alto...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 147.01M provides 5.57x coverage of total debt 26.40M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 147.01M provide robust 21.04x coverage of other current liabilities 6.99M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Strong cash position of 138.32M provides 19.80x coverage of other current liabilities 6.99M, indicating excellent liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 138.32M provide robust 15.29x coverage of current liabilities 9.04M, indicating strong short-term solvency.
  • Cash position of 138.32M represents healthy 1.06x of working capital 130.40M, demonstrating strong operational liquidity.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of (530000) provide weak support for R&D spending of 44.42M, which is -0.01x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (53.27M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 7.73M, with a -6.89 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (53.80M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 530000, with a -101.52 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (60.03M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.46M, with a -41.06 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of (53.80M) represents just -5.33x of debt issuance 10.10M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Biotechnology
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. 1,446.17 Bn -1,569.17 0.00 0.01 Bn
2 ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. 439.23 Bn 6,407.40 88.33 1.90 Bn
3 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma 120.62 Bn 32.82 10.29 1.83 Bn
4 REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 84.40 Bn 18.44 5.92 2.71 Bn
5 ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 56.13 Bn 1,288.39 17.49 3.21 Bn
6 ARGX Argenx Se 47.89 Bn 31.79 24,973.95 -
7 BNTC Benitec Biopharma Inc. 42.45 Bn -1,015.00 0.00 0.00 Bn
8 INSM INSMED Inc 32.67 Bn -27.60 73.08 0.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.11 12.96
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -5.82 23.73
EV to Debt EV to Debt 11.75 772.65
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -5.17 -11.30
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -4.78 7.11
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -5.77 22.12
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.72 68.89
EV to Revenue EV to Revenue 0.00 199.70
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.87 22.62
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -6.94 -12.30
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -12.02
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -26.96 857.11
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 72.41 -27.24
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -24.09 747.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -7.10 -48.21
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -3.36 -2.09
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -7.10 -57.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -8.37 -14.35
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 53.83 -30.88
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -12.45 -32.51
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit Growth (1y) % 0.00 227.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 15.29 3.79
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 15.42 7.23
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24 0.42
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -26.96 857.11
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -26.96 857.11
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % 0.00 -18,509.94
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % 0.00 -18,862.18
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % 0.00 -19,783.19
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % 0.00 -8.62
Net Profit Margin % Net Profit Margin % 0.00 -19,732.60