Amerisafe Inc (NASDAQ: AMSF)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Specialty CIK: 0001018979
Market Cap 732.99 Mn
P/B 2.67
P/E 14.68
P/S 2.37
ROIC (Qtr) 18.41
Div Yield % 15.35
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.17
Total Debt (Qtr) 0.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00

About

Amerisafe Inc., a company with the ticker symbol AMSF, operates in the workers' compensation insurance industry, specializing in small to mid-sized employers engaged in hazardous industries such as construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. The company was established in Texas in 1985 and commenced operations in 1986. Amerisafe's primary business activities involve the sale of workers' compensation insurance policies to employers operating in hazardous industries. These policies offer...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 1.16B provide exceptional 8.11x coverage of deferred revenue 143.57M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 9.29M exceeds capital expenditure of 1.99M by 4.67x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 11.27M provides strong 5.67x coverage of capital expenditure 1.99M, enabling organic growth.
  • Cash position of 54.75M fully covers payables of 39.63M by 1.38x, showing strong vendor relationship management.
  • Tangible assets of 1.16B provide robust 4.13x coverage of receivables 281.80M, showing strong asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 11.27M barely covers its investment activities of 71.44M, with a coverage ratio of 0.16, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 11.27M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (86.58M) with a -0.13 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 11.27M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 143.57M, which is 0.08x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 11.27M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 3.40M, with a 3.32 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 11.27M provides minimal 0.87x coverage of tax expenses of 13.02M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Specialty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNF Fidelity National Financial, Inc. 14.91 Bn 12.76 1.06 4.77 Bn
2 AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd 8.73 Bn 8.89 1.39 1.49 Bn
3 MTG Mgic Investment Corp 7.13 Bn 9.46 5.86 0.65 Bn
4 ESNT Essent Group Ltd. 6.66 Bn 9.47 5.27 0.49 Bn
5 RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. 6.64 Bn 96.02 2.24 3.58 Bn
6 FAF First American Financial Corp 6.33 Bn 13.13 0.89 2.85 Bn
7 ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. 6.06 Bn 9.19 4.95 0.74 Bn
8 RDN Radian Group Inc 5.23 Bn 9.08 4.17 1.13 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.59 0.71
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 60.63 14.19
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.00 23.24
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 10.86 18.43
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.72 16.13
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 73.62 16.11
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.93 1.73
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.21 5.55
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.66 1.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 14.67 15.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.58 2.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 172.60 38.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.54 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 928.43 72.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 24.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -133.45 -23.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -14.00 -13.37
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -8.28 6.74
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -18.73 22.43
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -17.62 10.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -17.44 35.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -17.44 50.45
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -18.32 37.38
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -43.65 -3.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -9.82 11.39
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 6.53 0.51
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.51
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 24.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 24.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 20.60 36.49
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.32 34.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 20.32 17.61
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 31.00 74.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 16.10 10.79