Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMPL)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001866692
Market Cap 1.41 Bn
P/B 5.38
P/E -13.62
P/S 4.27
ROIC (Qtr) -42.86
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 17.74
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.77 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01

About

Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) operates in the digital analytics industry, providing a platform that helps businesses understand how their customers interact with digital products. The company's mission is to drive the evolution of a new category of software, enabling businesses to build amazing digital experiences that increase acquisition, monetization, and retention, and drive revenue growth. Amplitude's Digital Analytics Platform is designed to provide real-time product data and reconstructed user visits, allowing cross-functional teams to understand...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 20.14M provides robust 11.40x coverage of total debt 1.77M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 406.12M provides 229.84x coverage of total debt 1.77M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 13.82M exceeds capital expenditure of 6.32M by 2.19x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Long-term investments of 78.15M provide solid 44.23x coverage of long-term debt 1.77M, indicating strategic financial planning.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 406.12M provides 4.28x coverage of working capital 94.99M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 20.14M barely covers its investment activities of (209.94M), with a coverage ratio of -0.10, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (209.94M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 108.67M, which is -1.93x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 83.11M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (19.16M), which is -4.34x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 20.14M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 131.53M, which is 0.15x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 20.14M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 105.32M, with a 0.19 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.95 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 64.12 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 730.97 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -12.81 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -13.05 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 93.45 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.92 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.91 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.38 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -13.62 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -5.61 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -51.84 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -28.91 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -17.91 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -28.64 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -28.64 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -21.21 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 18.30 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 12.37 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.49 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.56 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -26.50 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -30.55 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -30.55 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 74.00 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -31.40 -121.65