Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE: ALLY)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services CIK: 0000040729
Market Cap 14.44 Bn
P/B 0.96
P/E 52.52
P/S 1.83
ROIC (Qtr) 5.20
Div Yield % 0.66
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.55
Total Debt (Qtr) 20.63 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.36

About

Ally Financial Inc., commonly known as Ally, is a prominent player in the financial services industry with a market capitalization of over $196 billion as of December 31, 2023. The company operates in various segments including Dealer Financial Services, Mortgage Finance, Corporate Finance, and Corporate and Other. Ally's primary business lines include automotive finance, mortgage lending, and corporate finance. Ally's main business activities revolve around providing financial services, with a focus on automotive finance and insurance operations....

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 191.71B provides 9.29x coverage of total debt 20.63B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.71B provides exceptional 33.72x coverage of minority interest expenses 110M, showing strong core operations.
  • Tangible assets of 191.71B provide exceptional 52.55x coverage of deferred revenue 3.65B, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 3.71B provides 2.03x coverage of SG&A expenses 1.83B, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Cash position of 10.25B provides exceptional 93.15x coverage of minority interest expenses 110M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 3.71B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (377M) with a -9.84 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.71B provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 3.65B, which is 1.02x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Operating earnings of 729M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.30B, with a 0.56 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Retained earnings of 427M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (2.94B), which is -0.15x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.71B is outpaced by equity issuance of (43M) (-86.26 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Credit Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 V Visa Inc. 685.45 Bn 34.17 17.14 25.17 Bn
2 MA Mastercard Inc 520.38 Bn 36.52 16.53 18.98 Bn
3 AXP American Express Co 266.36 Bn 25.27 4.08 59.23 Bn
4 COF Capital One Financial Corp 111.93 Bn 102.41 3.87 51.48 Bn
5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. 58.35 Bn 11.87 1.78 11.28 Bn
6 SYF Synchrony Financial 32.00 Bn 9.16 3.32 14.43 Bn
7 SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 29.56 Bn 46.17 8.90 2.81 Bn
8 ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 14.44 Bn 52.52 1.83 20.63 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.12 1.03
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.36 4.72
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.14 2.99
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 32.35 -246.63
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.40 -62.30
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 6.36 7.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.63 10.21
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.99 10.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.96 3.47
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 52.52 13.86
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.73 1.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 34.50 2.22
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.30 0.68
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 2.51 4.82
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -64.96
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -85.80
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 18.92 7.91
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -75.00 5.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -40.60 16.85
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -11.76 -0.69
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 4.14 33.67
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 4.14 1.73
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -42.38 -64.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 7.38 129.37
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -5.94 18.73
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.10 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.46
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.05
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.36 4.88
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -64.96
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -64.96
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 25.70 -17.83
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.25 125.65
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.25 -9.92
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 92.10 72.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.50 -23.76