Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: AFRM)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0001820953
P/B 7.30
P/E 103.37
P/S 6.97
Market Cap 24.09 Bn
ROIC (Qtr) 0.96
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 33.62
Total Debt (Qtr) 7.93 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.40

About

Affirm Holdings, Inc., or Affirm, operates under the ticker symbol AFRM, providing financial products and services to consumers and merchants with a focus on digital and mobile-first commerce. The company's primary business activities include offering installment loans, Pay-in-4, a short-term payment plan, and Core loans, which include monthly interest-bearing and 0% APR installment loans. Affirm also provides a high-yield savings account and a virtual card for consumers. Merchant services include Affirm at Checkout, pay-over-time options, and 0%...

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Analysis

Pros

  • Robust free cash flow of 769.21M exceeds capital expenditure of 202.40M by 3.80x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 971.61M provides strong 13494.64x coverage of operating expenses 72000, showing operational efficiency.
  • Robust R&D investment of 623.54M at 0.68x of SG&A 919.62M demonstrates strong commitment to innovation and future growth.
  • Free cash flow of 769.21M provides solid 10683.50x coverage of operating expenses 72000, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 769.21M provides 0.84x coverage of SG&A expenses 919.62M, indicating efficient cost management.

Cons

  • Operating cash flow of 971.61M barely covers its investment activities of (647.68M), with a coverage ratio of -1.50, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (647.68M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 623.54M, which is -1.04x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 971.61M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 313.05M, with a 3.10 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 242.81M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 243.69M, with a 1 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 971.61M is outpaced by equity issuance of (98.08M) (-9.91 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 3,542.10 Bn 33.76 12.06 60.56 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 533.93 Bn 34.61 8.75 124.39 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 437.56 Bn 399.47 112.31 0.24 Bn
4 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 125.16 Bn 112.03 13.10 0.35 Bn
5 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 120.85 Bn -384.67 26.47 0.82 Bn
6 SNPS Synopsys Inc 71.69 Bn 35.89 11.14 15.14 Bn
7 NET Cloudflare, Inc. 67.84 Bn -658.43 33.70 3.50 Bn
8 FTNT Fortinet, Inc. 63.33 Bn 33.80 9.66 1.00 Bn

Industry Comparisons

Current Valuation

Metric Value Industry Percentile
EV to Assets 2.63 2.56
EV to Cash from Ops. 31.04 38.32
EV to Debt 3.80 -11.37
EV to EBIT 124.21 -12.79
EV to EBITDA 85.51 7.72
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] 39.21 24.22
EV to Market Cap 1.25 0.58
EV to Revenue 8.72 -35.00
Price to Book Value [P/B] 7.30 3.74
Price to Earnings [P/E] 103.37 -18.61

Dividend Metrics

Metric Value Industry Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -0.30
Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 2.69
Dividend per Basic Share 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % 0.00 1.67
Interest Coverage 0.00 -13.15

Growth Metrics

Metric Value Industry Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % -20.74 -404.11
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % 51.49 226.02
Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.27
EBIAT Growth (1y) % 152.24 31.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % 197.06 49.02
EBIT Growth (1y) % 154.80 25.85
EBT Growth (1y) % 154.80 17.82
EPS Growth (1y) % 150.00 70.69
FCF Growth (1y) % 102.17 295.45
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % 54.82 49.96

Liquidity Ratios

Metric Value Industry Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio 0.30 0.68
Cash Payout Ratio 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio 0.00 1.21
Current Ratio 0.00 2.57
Debt to Equity Ratio 2.40 -0.93
Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -13.15
Times Interest Earned 0.00 -13.15

Profitability

Metric Value Industry Percentile
EBITDA Margin % 14.10 -544.82
EBIT Margin % 7.02 -197.78
EBT Margin % 7.02 -602.74
Gross Margin % 47.80 52.06
Net Profit Margin % 6.70 -605.52