ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADTN)

Sector: Technology Industry: Communication Equipment CIK: 0000926282
Market Cap 714.50 Mn
P/B 5.05
P/E -8.12
P/S 0.69
ROIC (Qtr) -10.32
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 22.72
Total Debt (Qtr) 243.83 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.72

About

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc., with the ticker symbol ADTN, operates in the networking and communications industry. The company is a leading global provider of platforms, software, systems, and services, primarily focused on the broadband access and optical networking market. It operates under two reportable segments: Network Solutions and Services & Support. The Network Solutions segment offers a range of hardware and software products that enable a digital future, supporting Subscriber, Access & Aggregation, and Optical Networking Solutions. This segment's...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 846.71M provides 3.47x coverage of total debt 243.83M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 846.71M provide exceptional 10.48x coverage of deferred revenue 80.76M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 86.19M exceeds capital expenditure of 6.38M by 13.50x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash position of 101.23M provides exceptional 10.65x coverage of minority interest expenses 9.50M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 846.71M provide robust 7.13x coverage of other current liabilities 118.81M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 92.57M barely covers its investment activities of (66.50M), with a coverage ratio of -1.39, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (66.50M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 201.64M, which is -0.33x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 92.57M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 80.76M, which is 1.15x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Operating earnings of (41.56M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 90.42M, with a -0.46 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 90.42M relative to operating cash flow of 92.57M, which is 0.98x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Communication Equipment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. 306.02 Bn 29.63 5.30 28.09 Bn
2 MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. 63.92 Bn 30.21 5.65 9.81 Bn
3 HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co 35.43 Bn -600.50 1.03 22.37 Bn
4 UI Ubiquiti Inc. 33.47 Bn 42.27 12.14 0.17 Bn
5 CIEN Ciena Corp 33.16 Bn 268.82 6.95 1.58 Bn
6 LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. 25.28 Bn 224.75 13.73 3.28 Bn
7 ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 19.88 Bn -65.43 1,072.82 0.72 Bn
8 ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corp 12.46 Bn 24.33 2.37 2.32 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.68 2.22
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.92 10.78
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.39 25.00
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -19.88 32.18
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.96 10.60
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 9.59 -3.32
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.16 1.17
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.80 27.87
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.05 5.35
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -8.12 2.67
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.91
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -25.01
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.22
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.46
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -2.11 -12.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 81.13 -73.93
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 14.44 463.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 1.39
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 88.05 204.95
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 115.38 -1.04
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 90.84 238.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 87.11 173.82
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 83.79 8.68
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 60.80 20.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 25.36 41.66
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.86 0.76
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.33 1.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.96 2.69
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.72 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -2.11 -12.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -2.11 -12.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 4.70 -40.66
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -4.01 -52.32
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -5.92 -59.46
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 37.90 39.35
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -8.50 -60.72