Aci Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ: ACIW)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0000935036
Market Cap 4.88 Bn
P/B 3.30
P/E 18.71
P/S 2.82
ROIC (Qtr) 11.32
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.78
Total Debt (Qtr) 891.03 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.60

About

ACI Worldwide, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol ACI, operates as a global software company specializing in digital payment solutions. These solutions cater to three key markets: banks, merchants, and billers. ACI's offerings facilitate real-time digital payments, ensuring efficient and secure transactions in today's fast-paced financial ecosystem. The company's main business activities revolve around creating, marketing, and supporting a diverse range of software products and solutions tailored for digital payment processing. With a global...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 199.27M provide 4.87x coverage of short-term debt 40.92M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 312.87M exceeds capital expenditure of 14.67M by 21.33x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 1.70B provide exceptional 21.39x coverage of deferred revenue 79.66M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 327.54M provides strong 4.11x coverage of deferred revenue 79.66M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 327.54M fully covers other non-current liabilities 14.86M by 22.05x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of 6.24M provide weak support for R&D spending of 161.20M, which is 0.04x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Free cash flow of 312.87M represents just -2.12x of debt issuance (147.40M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 1.76B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (103.26M), which is -17.05x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 327.54M is outpaced by equity issuance of (168.76M) (-1.94 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Cash position of 199.27M provides only 3.29x coverage of interest expenses of 60.66M, indicating potential refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 3,563.59 Bn 33.97 12.13 60.56 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 561.87 Bn 36.43 9.21 124.39 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 413.65 Bn 377.64 106.17 0.24 Bn
4 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 126.45 Bn 113.19 13.23 0.35 Bn
5 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 116.42 Bn -370.56 25.50 0.82 Bn
6 SNPS Synopsys Inc 86.06 Bn 64.60 12.20 14.29 Bn
7 NET Cloudflare, Inc. 62.78 Bn -609.27 31.18 3.50 Bn
8 FTNT Fortinet, Inc. 60.83 Bn 32.47 9.28 1.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.78 2.69
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 17.13 28.91
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.30 19.83
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.83 -9.95
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.49 6.82
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 17.94 26.09
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.15 0.36
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.24 -9.34
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.30 3.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 18.71 -10.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -0.30
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.71
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.68
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.24 -14.20
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -55.54 -408.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 12.04 226.39
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 8.77 25.27
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -7.05 47.48
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 2.32 20.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 8.03 14.16
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 17.37 67.50
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 1.39 296.60
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 1.82 46.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.55 0.67
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 1.22
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.58 2.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.60 -0.96
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.24 -14.20
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.24 -14.20
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 28.00 -548.16
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 21.87 -199.84
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 18.36 -607.20
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 49.70 51.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 15.10 -610.00