AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE Corp (NASDAQ: ACIC)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty CIK: 0001401521
Market Cap 234.13 Mn
P/B 1.07
P/E 9.18
P/S 0.75
ROIC (Qtr) 20.37
Div Yield % 8.24
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.06
Total Debt (Qtr) 152.46 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.47
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About

American Coastal Insurance Corporation (ACIC), a company that operates in the commercial and personal property and casualty insurance market in the United States, is listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol ACIC. The company's main business activities include providing commercial and personal property insurance products to its customers. ACIC's primary source of revenue is generated from writing insurance in Florida and New York. The company operates through two reportable segments: commercial residential property and casualty...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 120.38M provides robust 0.79x coverage of total debt 152.46M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Robust free cash flow of 120.27M exceeds capital expenditure of 107000 by 1124.04x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.38M provides strong 30.92x coverage of stock compensation 3.89M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.12B provides 7.32x coverage of total debt 152.46M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.38M provides exceptional 11x coverage of interest expenses 10.94M, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 120.38M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (24.10M) with a -4.99 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.38M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 293.05M, which is 0.41x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 146.05M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Deferred revenue of 293.05M represents 0.90x of shareholder equity 327.22M, indicating significant future service obligations relative to capital base.
  • Fixed assets of 2.81M showing 0.35x ratio to depreciation of 7.97M indicates aging infrastructure requiring significant near-term capital investment.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2021)

Operating Activities Breakdown of Revenue (2021)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Property & Casualty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ 121.46 Bn 30.80 3.11 6.90 Bn
2 CB Chubb Ltd 109.27 Bn 36.88 5.64 21.01 Bn
3 ALL Allstate Corp 69.21 Bn 29.01 1.62 8.09 Bn
4 TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. 67.61 Bn 10.75 1.38 9.27 Bn
5 HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 61.19 Bn 37.09 3.27 4.37 Bn
6 WRB Berkley W R Corp 38.52 Bn 124.63 8.69 2.87 Bn
7 CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp 26.91 Bn 74.14 6.73 0.88 Bn
8 MKL Markel Group Inc. 26.46 Bn 13.00 1.68 4.28 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.15 0.50
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.40 -16.03
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.17 11.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 4.45 22.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 4.29 17.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2.77 68.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.76 0.91
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.57 2.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.07 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.18 29.62
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.54 7.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 28.40 19.66
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.50 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 20.23 37.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 11.43 -9.19
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -872.73 -17.83
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 49.39 30.27
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 16.34
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -0.93 62.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -1.94 35.62
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 2.41 56.25
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 3.57 52.70
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 48.20
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -58.64 15.47
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.23 16.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.20 0.45
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.02
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.47 0.23
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 11.43 -9.19
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 11.43 -9.19
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 40.50 14.01
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 38.09 13.05
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 34.76 12.25
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 81.90 40.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 26.00 9.63