Arbor Realty Trust Inc (NYSE: ABR)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001253986
Market Cap 1.50 Bn
P/B 0.50
P/E 9.84
P/S 2.84
ROIC (Qtr) 1.18
Div Yield % 22.65
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -28.23
Total Debt (Qtr) 10.40 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.47

About

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc., often recognized by its ticker symbol ABR, is a prominent player in the real estate finance industry. With operations spanning across the United States, the company specializes in the origination, sale, and servicing of multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate loans. Additionally, Arbor Realty Trust owns various real estate-related investments, further diversifying its revenue streams. The company's operations are divided into two primary segments: Structured Loan Origination and Investment Business,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 408.29M exceeds capital expenditure of 27.71M by 14.73x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 436M provides exceptional 33.57x coverage of minority interest expenses 12.99M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 436M provides strong 31.67x coverage of stock compensation 13.77M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 436M provides 1.84x coverage of SG&A expenses 237.57M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Cash position of 546.34M provides exceptional 42.07x coverage of minority interest expenses 12.99M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 436M barely covers its investment activities of (522.02M), with a coverage ratio of -0.84, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 436M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (245.86M) with a -1.77 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 546.34M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (22.28M), which is -24.52x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 209.38M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 88.51M, with a 2.37 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 237.57M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 13.98 Bn 10.42 8.17 107.02 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.44 Bn 16.65 30.74 95.01 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.55 Bn 17.88 3.63 21.43 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.78 Bn 7.43 1.16 34.97 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.36 Bn 31.37 6.62 15.46 Bn
6 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.83 Bn 34.78 15.64 16.56 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.59 Bn 9.04 6.88 11.75 Bn
8 ABR Arbor Realty Trust Inc 1.50 Bn 9.84 2.84 10.40 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.81 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 25.87 -102.96
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.08 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 53.86 -260.73
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 41.83 -16.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 27.62 3.47
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 7.52 9.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 21.33 26.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.50 0.68
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.82 -4.85
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.53 -0.55
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 184.80 29.47
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.46 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 69.29 57.60
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -339.37 37.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -37.02 24.22
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -15.12 4.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -34.55 17.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -32.79 9.86
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -33.97 20.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -33.97 11.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -41.91 59.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -18.92 59.63
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -22.06 20.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.58 0.83
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.47 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 56.30 137.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 39.60 142.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 39.60 129.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 96.20 117.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 28.90 125.89