UPST vs TOST vs QFIN Stock Comparison

Upstart Holdings, Toast and Qfin Holdings Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 Peers: Industry group
UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc.
$24.14 +4.8% 1M -52.4% 1Y
Market cap
$2.38B
P/E
39.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$1.25B
Div. yield
–
Digital Lending Technology
1 win
TOST Toast, Inc.
$31.95 +5.2% 1M -14.7% 1Y
Market cap
$18.40B
P/E
37.9x
Revenue (TTM)
$6.80B
Div. yield
–
Restaurant and Retail Software Technology
4 wins
QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc.
$5.49 -22.1% 1M -74.3% 1Y
Market cap
$693.77M
P/E
1.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.41B
Div. yield
–
Digital Lending Technology
5 wins

Head to Head

10 decided of 12

Qfin Holdings leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Qfin Holdings 5, Toast 4, Upstart Holdings 1). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionUPSTTOSTQFINLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $2.38B $18.40B $693.77M TOST
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 39.4x 37.9x 1.3x QFIN
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 35.0x 24.2x 1.9x QFIN
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +48.6% +23.0% -7.8% UPST
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 4.8% 7.1% 22.2% QFIN
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 1.8% — 17.5% QFIN
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 20.6x — — –
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -52.4% -14.7% -74.3% TOST
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -40.5%/yr -9.7%/yr -23.1%/yr TOST
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 65.2% 47.9% 57.0% TOST
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 50/100 70/100 78/100 QFIN

Percentile Scorecard

UPSTTOSTQFIN

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisUPSTTOSTQFIN
Valuation 51 #49 of 99 50 #45 of 89 97 #4 of 99
Growth 76 #23 of 94 98 #3 of 81 38 #59 of 94
Profitability 51 #45 of 90 67 #26 of 76 94 #6 of 90
Financial Health 11 #94 of 105 72 #27 of 94 72 #30 of 105
Shareholder Returns 60 #24 of 59 65 #19 of 52 91 #6 of 59
Overall 50 70 78
  • UPST ranked among 109 companies in Fintech
  • TOST ranked among 98 companies in Vertical Software
  • QFIN ranked among 109 companies in Fintech

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodUPSTTOSTQFINSPY
1 month +4.8%+5.2%-22.1% +0.9%
3 months -9.2%-2.0%-60.1% +5.9%
6 months -20.8%+11.6%-56.5% +8.5%
Year to date -44.8%-10.0%-71.5% +13.3%
1 year -52.4%-14.7%-74.3% +12.4%
3 years +4.8%+102.6%-63.6% +88.1%
3 years, per year +1.6%+26.6%-28.6% +23.5%
5 years -92.5%-40.0%-73.1% +68.2%
5 years, per year -40.5%-9.7%-23.1% +11.0%

Risk

MeasureUPSTTOSTQFINSPY
Volatility, 1Y 65.2%47.9%57.0% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 68.5%52.9%56.1% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 2.931.071.13 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.80-0.31-1.30 0.98
Max drawdown, 5Y -96.5%-80.6%-89.1% -25.4%
From 52-week high -52.4%-18.1%-77.3% -0.9%
52-week high $50.70$39.02$24.15 $779.14
52-week low $22.74$22.33$5.26 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleUPSTTOSTQFIN
P/E now vs peer median 38.6xmedian 19.6x 38.0xmedian 40.6x 1.4xmedian 19.6x
P/S now vs peer median 1.9xmedian 2.3x 2.7xmedian 2.4x 0.3xmedian 2.3x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 51.8xmedian 17.5x 28.9xmedian 18.3x —median 17.5x
P/FCF now vs peer median -8.1xmedian 15.9x 32.0xmedian 20.5x 0.5xmedian 15.9x
P/B now vs peer median 2.9xmedian 2.0x 9.0xmedian 1.8x 0.2xmedian 2.0x
PEG now vs peer median 1.31median 1.01 0.81median 1.74 0.28median 1.01

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsUPSTTOSTQFIN
Revenue $1.25B $6.80B $2.41B
Gross profit $1.03B $1.82B –
Operating income $49.71M $431.00M $675.86M
Net income $60.33M $486.00M $533.22M
Free cash flow -$289.05M $576.00M $1.27B
R&D $304.91M $405.00M –
EPS (diluted) $0.55 $0.82 $3.93
Cash & equivalents $455.96M $1.02B $607.06M
Total debt $2.00B – $1.05B
Shares (diluted) 109.72M 590.00M 136.09M
Enterprise value $308.51M $11.07B -$3.87B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricUPSTTOSTQFIN
P/E 38.6x 38.0x 1.4x
P/FCF -8.1x 32.0x 0.5x
P/Operating cash flow -8.3x 29.0x 0.5x
P/S 1.9x 2.7x 0.3x
P/B 2.9x 9.0x 0.2x
P/Tangible book 2.9x 9.1x 0.2x
EV/EBITDA 51.8x 28.9x –
EV/EBIT 78.4x 38.8x 0.0x
EV/Revenue 3.1x 2.5x 0.0x
EV/FCF -13.5x 29.0x 0.0x
EV/Operating cash flow -13.7x 26.3x 0.0x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 1.31 0.81 0.28

Growth

14 metrics
MetricUPSTTOSTQFIN
Revenue growth (1Y) 48.6% 23.0% -7.8%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 27.9% 27.1% 3.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 53.0% 30.5% –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 33.7% 38.1% –
Operating income growth (1Y) 199.7% 128.0% -41.5%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) 29.6% 47.5% 3.8%
Net income growth (1Y) 1,050% 117.0% -47.1%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 30.5% 48.7% -1.2%
EPS growth (1Y) 990.2% 122.5% -40.9%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 29.5% 46.7% 4.9%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -335.4% 13.8% -16.1%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -13.2% 106.7% 8.8%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -341.5% 13.4% -16.1%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -13.0% 82.9% 8.9%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricUPSTTOSTQFIN
Gross margin 82.5% 26.7% –
EBITDA margin 6.0% 8.5% –
Operating margin 4.0% 6.3% 28.1%
Pretax margin 4.9% 7.3% 31.1%
Net margin 4.8% 7.1% 22.2%
FCF margin -23.2% 8.5% 52.6%
Operating cash flow margin -22.8% 9.3% 52.6%
Return on equity 7.9% 24.1% 14.8%
Return on assets 2.0% 15.5% 6.8%
Return on invested capital 1.8% – 17.5%
Return on capital employed – 21.2% 13.6%
Asset turnover 0.4x 2.2x 0.3x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) -4.7x 1.3x 2.4x
Stock comp / revenue 11.7% 3.4% –

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricUPSTTOSTQFIN
Debt / assets 63.2% – 4.1%
Debt / equity 2.5x – 0.1x
Net debt / EBITDA 20.6x – –
Debt / FCF -6.9x – 0.3x
Liabilities / assets 74.9% 35.7% 53.3%
Equity / assets 25.1% 64.3% 46.7%
Interest coverage 1.2x – 8.7x
Current ratio – 2.4x 2.2x
Quick ratio – 1.7x 0.4x
Cash ratio – 1.6x 0.3x
Altman Z-score – 12.47 –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricUPSTTOSTQFIN
Dividend yield – – 22.6%
Net buyback yield 3.5% 2.7% –
Shareholder yield 3.5% 2.7% 22.6%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusUPSTTOSTQFIN
Forward P/E 35.0xFY2026 24.2xFY2026 1.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $0.69FY2026 $1.32FY2026 $2.84FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -58.4%FY2026 +34.7%FY2026 -54.8%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +191.3% +35.6% -10.2%
Revenue, next fiscal year $1.35BFY2026 $7.84BFY2026 $1.84BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +29.4%FY2026 +27.5%FY2026 -33.0%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +42.2% +17.8% -13.1%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersUPSTTOSTQFIN
Held by institutions 60.0% 93.1% 61.8%
Institutions holding 363 774 158
Change in shares held, QoQ +3.2% +8.1% +3.0%
Institutions buying 196 427 71
Institutions selling 98 245 64
Buyers to sellers 2.00 1.74 1.11

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

UPSTTOSTQFIN
UPST 1.00 0.44 0.29
TOST 0.44 1.00 0.23
QFIN 0.29 0.23 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, UPST, TOST and QFIN?

Toast (TOST) is the largest by market capitalisation: Upstart Holdings (UPST) $2.38B, Toast (TOST) $18.40B, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) $693.77M.

Which stock is cheaper, UPST, TOST and QFIN?

Qfin Holdings (QFIN) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 39.4x, Toast (TOST) 37.9x, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) 1.3x). On next year's consensus earnings, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) is cheapest (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 35.0x, Toast (TOST) 24.2x, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) 1.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Upstart Holdings (UPST) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Upstart Holdings (UPST) +48.6%, Toast (TOST) +23.0%, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) -7.8%.

Which company is more profitable?

Qfin Holdings (QFIN) has the highest net margin (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 4.8%, Toast (TOST) 7.1%, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) 22.2%). On return on invested capital, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) leads (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 1.8%, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) 17.5%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Toast (TOST) returned the most: Upstart Holdings (UPST) -52.4%, Toast (TOST) -14.7%, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) -74.3%. Over five years, Toast (TOST) compounded fastest (Upstart Holdings (UPST) -40.5%/yr, Toast (TOST) -9.7%/yr, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) -23.1%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Toast (TOST) has been the steadiest (Upstart Holdings (UPST) 65.2%, Toast (TOST) 47.9%, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) 57.0%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, UPST, TOST and QFIN?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Qfin Holdings (QFIN) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.