TFII vs UPS vs GEO Stock Comparison

TFI International, United Parcel Service and Geo Prices as of Nov 4, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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TFII TFI International Inc.
$100.28 -12.6% 1M +12.0% 1Y
Market cap
$8.00B
P/E
18.9x
Revenue (TTM)
$8.39B
Div. yield
–
Trucking Industrials
3 wins
UPS United Parcel Service Inc
$114.30 +22.7% 1M +22.6% 1Y
Market cap
$94.53B
P/E
21.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$91.37B
Div. yield
–
Parcel Delivery Industrials
3 wins
GEO Geo Group Inc
$27.53 -14.9% 1M +68.1% 1Y
Market cap
$3.32B
P/E
11.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
5 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Geo leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Geo 5, United Parcel Service 3, TFI International 3). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionTFIIUPSGEOLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $8.00B $94.53B $3.32B UPS
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 18.9x 21.4x 11.4x GEO
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 17.5x 16.9x 20.5x UPS
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +4.2% +2.1% +15.3% GEO
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 5.0% 4.8% 10.3% GEO
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 17.7% 12.3% 7.5% TFII
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 0.0x 1.8x 3.3x TFII
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +12.0% +22.6% +68.1% GEO
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -2.6%/yr -11.3%/yr +23.6%/yr GEO
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 41.0% 30.2% 49.2% UPS
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 62/100 44/100 57/100 TFII

Percentile Scorecard

TFIIUPSGEO

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisTFIIUPSGEO
Valuation 68 #44 of 137 39 #84 of 137 56 #51 of 114
Growth 37 #80 of 127 25 #96 of 127 60 #40 of 98
Profitability 65 #44 of 125 70 #38 of 125 61 #38 of 95
Financial Health 63 #55 of 147 34 #97 of 147 34 #84 of 126
Shareholder Returns 76 #22 of 88 53 #42 of 88 77 #17 of 70
Overall 62 44 57
  • TFII ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • UPS ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • GEO ranked among 131 companies in Business Services

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodTFIIUPSGEOSPY
1 month -12.6%+22.7%-14.9% -1.0%
3 months -28.0%+6.2%-12.4% -0.4%
6 months -28.0%+14.4%+24.0% +4.5%
Year to date -3.0%+15.2%+70.8% +12.4%
1 year +12.0%+22.6%+68.1% +13.6%
3 years -12.1%-20.0%+204.5% +76.4%
3 years, per year -4.2%-7.2%+45.0% +20.8%
5 years -12.4%-45.1%+188.0% +63.7%
5 years, per year -2.6%-11.3%+23.6% +10.4%
10 years +344.7%+6.9%+75.1% +267.7%
10 years, per year +16.1%+0.7%+5.8% +13.9%

Risk

MeasureTFIIUPSGEOSPY
Volatility, 1Y 41.0%30.2%49.2% 12.8%
Downside volatility, 1Y 45.4%33.3%50.8% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.220.700.76 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 0.290.751.38 1.06
Max drawdown, 5Y -54.5%-64.4%-62.5% -25.4%
From 52-week high -38.6%-4.7%-16.0% -1.6%
52-week high $163.36$120.00$32.78 $779.14
52-week low $80.71$90.87$13.26 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleTFIIUPSGEO
P/E now vs peer median 19.7xmedian 14.5x 22.0xmedian 14.5x 12.3xmedian 23.0x
P/S now vs peer median 1.0xmedian 1.0x 0.9xmedian 1.0x 1.3xmedian 0.9x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 8.1xmedian 8.2x 10.1xmedian 8.2x 11.2xmedian 12.1x
P/FCF now vs peer median 7.0xmedian 12.9x 13.5xmedian 12.9x 137.8xmedian 15.8x
P/B now vs peer median 3.0xmedian 1.2x 5.7xmedian 1.2x 2.4xmedian 2.4x
PEG now vs peer median -3.77median 0.64 -1.12median 0.64 0.48median 1.13

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsTFIIUPSGEO
Revenue $8.39B $91.37B $2.83B
Operating income $624.12M $6.52B $315.54M
Net income $356.83M $4.42B $291.54M
Free cash flow $1.21B $6.35B $26.44M
EPS (diluted) $5.07 $5.19 $2.21
Cash & equivalents $187.49M $6.84B $54.99M
Total debt $186.52M $26.08B $1.54B
Shares (diluted) 83.41M 852.00M 132.02M
Enterprise value $7.21B $71.35B $2.93B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricTFIIUPSGEO
P/E 19.7x 22.0x 12.3x
P/FCF 7.0x 13.5x 137.8x
P/Operating cash flow 9.5x 9.3x 18.3x
P/S 1.0x 0.9x 1.3x
P/B 3.0x 5.7x 2.4x
P/Tangible book -4.4x 7.8x 2.6x
EV/EBITDA 8.1x 10.1x 11.2x
EV/EBIT 13.6x 16.1x 16.3x
EV/Revenue 1.0x 1.2x 1.8x
EV/FCF 7.0x 16.6x 194.0x
EV/Operating cash flow 9.5x 11.3x 25.8x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -3.77 -1.12 0.48

Growth

14 metrics
MetricTFIIUPSGEO
Revenue growth (1Y) 4.2% 2.1% 15.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 3.7% -0.6% 5.0%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) 4.3% -20.7% 11.4%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -7.0% -12.9% -7.0%
Net income growth (1Y) 9.1% -19.6% 222.2%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -12.2% -19.7% 28.5%
EPS growth (1Y) 14.5% -20.0% 242.8%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -5.2% -19.6% 25.6%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -6.6% 9.7% -16.6%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -2.3% -5.9% -4.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -0.9% 44.5% -79.8%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -3.6% 4.5% -42.6%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricTFIIUPSGEO
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 12.4% 11.4% 16.1%
Operating margin 7.4% 7.1% 11.2%
Pretax margin 7.8% 6.4% 14.0%
Net margin 5.0% 4.8% 10.3%
FCF margin 14.4% 7.0% 0.9%
Operating cash flow margin 10.7% 10.2% 7.0%
Return on equity 12.9% 29.4% 19.4%
Return on assets 4.8% 6.1% 7.7%
Return on invested capital 17.7% 12.3% 7.5%
Return on capital employed 10.0% 11.6% 9.3%
Asset turnover 1.1x 1.3x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 2.5x 2.1x 0.7x
Stock comp / revenue 0.2% 0.1% 0.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricTFIIUPSGEO
Debt / assets 2.5% 35.9% 41.2%
Debt / equity 0.1x 1.7x 1.0x
Net debt / EBITDA 0.0x 1.8x 3.3x
Debt / FCF 0.2x 4.1x 58.3x
Liabilities / assets 62.6% 79.3% 59.5%
Equity / assets 37.4% 20.7% 40.5%
Interest coverage 3.7x 6.0x 2.1x
Current ratio 1.1x 1.2x 1.7x
Quick ratio 1.0x 1.1x 1.5x
Cash ratio 0.1x 0.4x 0.1x
Altman Z-score 2.85 2.87 2.24

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricTFIIUPSGEO
Dividend yield 1.9% 5.7% –
Net buyback yield 5.1% -0.1% 4.8%
Shareholder yield 7.0% 5.6% 4.8%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusTFIIUPSGEO
Forward P/E 17.5xFY2026 16.9xFY2026 20.5xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $5.73FY2026 $6.75FY2026 $1.34FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +31.1%FY2026 -5.7%FY2026 +55.8%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +40.5% +26.7% +44.8%
Revenue, next fiscal year $8.41BFY2026 $87.80BFY2026 $3.17BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +6.7%FY2026 -1.0%FY2026 +20.6%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +1.0% +14.6% -1.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersTFIIUPSGEO
Held by institutions 69.4% 62.5% 94.2%
Institutions holding 296 2,141 292
Change in shares held, QoQ +1.2% +6.0% -2.2%
Institutions buying 175 1,090 151
Institutions selling 90 811 97
Buyers to sellers 1.94 1.34 1.56

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

TFIIUPSGEO
TFII 1.00 0.41 0.21
UPS 0.41 1.00 0.08
GEO 0.21 0.08 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, TFII, UPS and GEO?

United Parcel Service (UPS) is the largest by market capitalisation: TFI International (TFII) $8.00B, United Parcel Service (UPS) $94.53B, Geo (GEO) $3.32B.

Which stock is cheaper, TFII, UPS and GEO?

Geo (GEO) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (TFI International (TFII) 18.9x, United Parcel Service (UPS) 21.4x, Geo (GEO) 11.4x). On next year's consensus earnings, United Parcel Service (UPS) is cheapest (TFI International (TFII) 17.5x, United Parcel Service (UPS) 16.9x, Geo (GEO) 20.5x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Geo (GEO) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: TFI International (TFII) +4.2%, United Parcel Service (UPS) +2.1%, Geo (GEO) +15.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

Geo (GEO) has the highest net margin (TFI International (TFII) 5.0%, United Parcel Service (UPS) 4.8%, Geo (GEO) 10.3%). On return on invested capital, TFI International (TFII) leads (TFI International (TFII) 17.7%, United Parcel Service (UPS) 12.3%, Geo (GEO) 7.5%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Geo (GEO) returned the most: TFI International (TFII) +12.0%, United Parcel Service (UPS) +22.6%, Geo (GEO) +68.1%. Over five years, Geo (GEO) compounded fastest (TFI International (TFII) -2.6%/yr, United Parcel Service (UPS) -11.3%/yr, Geo (GEO) +23.6%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, United Parcel Service (UPS) has been the steadiest (TFI International (TFII) 41.0%, United Parcel Service (UPS) 30.2%, Geo (GEO) 49.2%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, TFII, UPS and GEO?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Geo (GEO) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.