LUCK vs MGM vs MSGS Stock Comparison

Lucky Strike Entertainment, MGM Resorts International and Madison Square Garden Sports Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 Peers: Industry group
MGM MGM Resorts International
$27.98 -14.1% 1M -15.0% 1Y
Market cap
$6.96B
P/E
16.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$17.76B
Div. yield
–
Casinos Consumer Discretionary
5 wins

Head to Head

10 decided of 12

Madison Square Garden Sports leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Madison Square Garden Sports 5, MGM Resorts International 5). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionLUCKMGMMSGSLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $547.21M $6.96B $9.26B MSGS
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -11.8x 16.3x 1,197x MGM
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — 18.3x — –
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +3.7% +3.2% +11.0% MSGS
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -3.7% 2.4% 0.7% MGM
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 9.0% 10.6% — MGM
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 6.5x 1.7x 2.9x MGM
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -46.3% -15.0% +68.6% MSGS
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years -15.3%/yr -9.8%/yr +15.9%/yr MSGS
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 54.5% 39.1% 29.7% MSGS
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 43/100 72/100 37/100 MGM

Percentile Scorecard

LUCKMGMMSGS

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisLUCKMGMMSGS
Valuation 58 #19 of 44 98 #2 of 44 16 #37 of 44
Growth 12 #38 of 43 52 #21 of 43 45 #24 of 43
Profitability 48 #22 of 41 60 #17 of 41 45 #23 of 41
Financial Health 9 #43 of 47 63 #18 of 47 41 #28 of 47
Shareholder Returns 89 #4 of 29 86 #5 of 29 –
Overall 43 72 37
  • LUCK ranked among 48 companies in Gaming and Leisure
  • MGM ranked among 48 companies in Gaming and Leisure
  • MSGS ranked among 48 companies in Gaming and Leisure

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodLUCKMGMMSGSSPY
1 month -15.9%-14.1%-4.6% -0.2%
3 months -37.1%-39.4%-3.2% +3.9%
6 months -39.8%-29.6%+14.7% +8.2%
Year to date -48.2%-23.3%+48.6% +12.9%
1 year -46.3%-15.0%+68.6% +12.3%
3 years -57.5%-18.3%+132.7% +87.4%
3 years, per year -24.9%-6.5%+32.5% +23.3%
5 years -56.3%-40.4%+108.8% +67.9%
5 years, per year -15.3%-9.8%+15.9% +10.9%
10 years —+7.7%+135.9% +261.1%
10 years, per year —+0.7%+9.0% +13.7%

Risk

MeasureLUCKMGMMSGSSPY
Volatility, 1Y 54.5%39.1%29.7% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 59.0%35.2%23.8% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.060.850.53 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.85-0.382.31 0.97
Max drawdown, 5Y -76.0%-49.3%-32.0% -25.4%
From 52-week high -53.7%-44.8%-7.6% -1.2%
52-week high $9.49$50.69$416.24 $779.14
52-week low $4.11$27.98$212.91 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleLUCKMGMMSGS
P/E now vs peer median -12.9xmedian 17.0x 16.7xmedian 17.0x 1,197xmedian 17.0x
P/S now vs peer median 0.5xmedian 1.9x 0.4xmedian 1.9x 8.0xmedian 1.9x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 8.7xmedian 10.8x 5.0xmedian 10.8x 291.8xmedian 10.8x
P/FCF now vs peer median -61.3xmedian 11.2x 4.7xmedian 11.2x 151.1xmedian 11.2x
P/B now vs peer median -1.5xmedian 2.4x 2.1xmedian 2.4x -35.2xmedian 2.4x
PEG now vs peer median 0.28median 0.56 0.97median 0.56 -26.31median 0.56

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsLUCKMGMMSGS
Revenue $1.25B $17.76B $1.15B
Gross profit $844.13M $7.84B $320.12M
Operating income $136.79M $1.02B $28.87M
Net income -$35.78M $595.10M $7.76M
Free cash flow -$9.78M $1.49B $61.26M
EPS (diluted) $-0.34 $1.65 $0.32
Cash & equivalents – $2.55B $164.51M
Total debt $1.78B $6.07B $1.10B
Shares (diluted) 136.63M 257.76M 24.25M
Enterprise value $547.21M -$2.08B $8.86B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricLUCKMGMMSGS
P/E -12.9x 16.7x 1,197x
P/FCF -61.3x 4.7x 151.1x
P/Operating cash flow 5.8x 2.9x 147.7x
P/S 0.5x 0.4x 8.0x
P/B -1.5x 2.1x -35.2x
P/Tangible book -1.3x 3.3x -25.2x
EV/EBITDA 8.7x 5.0x 291.8x
EV/EBIT 17.4x 10.4x 323.9x
EV/Revenue 1.9x 0.6x 8.1x
EV/FCF -243.4x 7.1x 152.7x
EV/Operating cash flow 22.9x 4.3x 149.2x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.28 0.97 -26.31

Growth

14 metrics
MetricLUCKMGMMSGS
Revenue growth (1Y) 3.7% 3.2% 11.0%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 5.6% 6.2% 9.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 2.2% 1.4% 12.7%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 35.1% 3.0% -1.9%
Operating income growth (1Y) -0.3% -27.1% 94.9%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -12.0% 165.5% -30.3%
Net income growth (1Y) -257.0% -28.0% 134.6%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -34.6% 135.7% -45.2%
EPS growth (1Y) -154.5% -15.6% 134.3%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -46.2% 17.2% -45.5%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -41.4% -2.7% -31.6%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -21.9% 5.4% -25.7%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -127.1% 15.4% -30.4%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -28.9% 8.1% -26.0%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricLUCKMGMMSGS
Gross margin 67.8% 44.2% 27.7%
EBITDA margin 22.0% 12.0% 2.8%
Operating margin 11.0% 5.7% 2.5%
Pretax margin -3.2% 2.8% 1.6%
Net margin -3.7% 2.4% 0.7%
FCF margin -0.8% 8.4% 5.3%
Operating cash flow margin 8.3% 13.9% 5.4%
Return on equity – 20.2% –
Return on assets -1.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Return on invested capital 9.0% 10.6% –
Return on capital employed 4.5% 2.7% 3.3%
Asset turnover 0.4x 0.4x 0.8x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) -2.9x 4.1x 8.1x
Stock comp / revenue 1.0% 0.5% 1.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricLUCKMGMMSGS
Debt / assets 55.2% 15.2% 16.8%
Debt / equity -4.5x 1.8x -1.0x
Net debt / EBITDA 6.5x 1.7x 2.9x
Debt / FCF -182.1x 4.1x 4.2x
Liabilities / assets 112.3% 91.5% 117.1%
Equity / assets -12.3% 8.5% -17.1%
Interest coverage – 2.5x 1.4x
Current ratio 0.5x 1.3x 0.5x
Quick ratio – 1.1x 0.4x
Cash ratio – 0.8x 0.3x
Altman Z-score 0.44 0.76 3.53

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricLUCKMGMMSGS
Dividend yield 5.5% – –
Net buyback yield 5.9% 11.0% –
Shareholder yield 11.4% 11.0% 0.0%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusLUCKMGMMSGS
Forward P/E – 18.3xFY2026 –
EPS, next fiscal year $-0.06FY2027 $1.53FY2026 $-1.03FY2027
EPS growth, next FY – -53.8%FY2026 -421.9%FY2027
EPS growth, the year after – +18.3% –
Revenue, next fiscal year $1.22BFY2027 $18.44BFY2026 $1.06BFY2027
Revenue growth, next FY -2.1%FY2027 +5.1%FY2026 -7.9%FY2027
Revenue growth, the year after +14.8% +0.3% +1.5%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersLUCKMGMMSGS
Held by institutions 50.3% 66.8% 81.3%
Institutions holding 55 661 463
Change in shares held, QoQ -0.8% +0.0% +10.3%
Institutions buying 24 305 247
Institutions selling 20 235 136
Buyers to sellers 1.20 1.30 1.82

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

LUCKMGMMSGS
LUCK 1.00 0.20 0.22
MGM 0.20 1.00 0.25
MSGS 0.22 0.25 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, LUCK, MGM and MSGS?

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) is the largest by market capitalisation: Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) $547.21M, MGM Resorts International (MGM) $6.96B, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) $9.26B.

Which stock is cheaper, LUCK, MGM and MSGS?

MGM Resorts International (MGM) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) -11.8x, MGM Resorts International (MGM) 16.3x, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) 1,197x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) +3.7%, MGM Resorts International (MGM) +3.2%, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) +11.0%.

Which company is more profitable?

MGM Resorts International (MGM) has the highest net margin (Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) -3.7%, MGM Resorts International (MGM) 2.4%, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) 0.7%). On return on invested capital, MGM Resorts International (MGM) leads (Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) 9.0%, MGM Resorts International (MGM) 10.6%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) returned the most: Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) -46.3%, MGM Resorts International (MGM) -15.0%, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) +68.6%. Over five years, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) compounded fastest (Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) -15.3%/yr, MGM Resorts International (MGM) -9.8%/yr, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) +15.9%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) has been the steadiest (Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) 54.5%, MGM Resorts International (MGM) 39.1%, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) 29.7%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, LUCK, MGM and MSGS?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.