KDP vs LKNCY vs MCD Stock Comparison

Keurig Dr Pepper, Luckin Coffee and Mcdonalds Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 Peers: Industry group
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
$34.99 +9.5% 1M +28.8% 1Y
Market cap
$47.46B
P/E
33.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$20.09B
Div. yield
–
Non-Alcoholic Beverages Consumer Staples
3 wins
LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc.
$32.28 -0.8% 1M -18.9% 1Y
Market cap
$10.20B
P/E
20.1x
Revenue (TTM)
—
Div. yield
–
Quick-Service Restaurants Consumer Discretionary
1 win
MCD Mcdonalds Corp
$250.84 +6.1% 1M -18.0% 1Y
Market cap
$176.83B
P/E
20.1x
Revenue (TTM)
$27.70B
Div. yield
0.03%
Quick-Service Restaurants Consumer Discretionary
7 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Mcdonalds leads on 7 of the 12 questions below (Mcdonalds 7, Keurig Dr Pepper 3, Luckin Coffee 1). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionKDPLKNCYMCDLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $47.46B $10.20B $176.83B MCD
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 33.3x 20.1x 20.1x MCD
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 14.8x 14.9x 18.9x KDP
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +27.5% — +6.3% KDP
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 7.1% — 31.7% MCD
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 4.3% — 25.9% MCD
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 6.7x — 2.6x MCD
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +28.8% -18.9% -18.0% KDP
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +0.5%/yr +16.9%/yr +0.7%/yr LKNCY
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 26.5% 43.4% 19.9% MCD
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 40/100 — 50/100 MCD

Percentile Scorecard

KDPLKNCYMCD

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisKDPLKNCYMCD
Valuation 49 #20 of 38 51 #25 of 50 18 #41 of 50
Growth 50 #17 of 33 – 39 #29 of 47
Profitability 67 #11 of 31 – 100 #1 of 46
Financial Health 16 #32 of 38 86 #8 of 51 44 #29 of 51
Shareholder Returns 18 #19 of 23 – 47 #18 of 33
Overall 40 – 50
  • KDP ranked among 41 companies in Beverages
  • LKNCY ranked among 53 companies in Restaurants
  • MCD ranked among 53 companies in Restaurants

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodKDPLKNCYMCDSPY
1 month +9.5%-0.8%+6.1% -0.8%
3 months +16.2%+0.7%-7.3% +3.5%
6 months +24.3%+4.1%-13.6% +7.0%
Year to date +24.9%-3.6%-17.9% +12.2%
1 year +28.8%-18.9%-18.0% +13.0%
3 years +17.1%-2.2%-1.9% +86.3%
3 years, per year +5.4%-0.7%-0.6% +23.1%
5 years +2.3%+118.0%+3.3% +68.6%
5 years, per year +0.5%+16.9%+0.7% +11.0%
10 years -60.5%—+123.7% +258.0%
10 years, per year -8.9%—+8.4% +13.6%

Risk

MeasureKDPLKNCYMCDSPY
Volatility, 1Y 26.5%43.4%19.9% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 25.9%37.8%20.5% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.020.41-0.01 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 1.09-0.44-0.90 1.02
Max drawdown, 5Y -36.9%-58.9%-32.3% -25.4%
From 52-week high -0.6%-21.6%-26.5% -1.8%
52-week high $35.19$41.15$341.06 $779.14
52-week low $25.31$27.67$230.86 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleKDPLKNCYMCD
P/E now vs peer median 33.4xmedian 26.6x 20.1xmedian 20.5x 20.2xmedian 20.5x
P/S now vs peer median 2.4xmedian 1.5x 1.2xmedian 1.1x 6.4xmedian 1.1x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 17.9xmedian 14.2x —median 13.3x 14.4xmedian 13.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 24.2xmedian 18.3x 17.6xmedian 17.5x 24.0xmedian 17.5x
P/B now vs peer median 1.6xmedian 2.6x 3.9xmedian 3.1x -173.5xmedian 3.1x
PEG now vs peer median -12.06median 2.09 —median 1.07 4.71median 1.07

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsKDPLKNCYMCD
Revenue $20.09B – $27.70B
Gross profit $9.92B – $24.86B
Operating income $3.26B – $12.80B
Net income $1.50B – $8.79B
Free cash flow $1.97B – $7.39B
EPS (diluted) $1.05 – $12.36
Cash & equivalents $1.52B $327.91M $822.00M
Total debt $29.98B – $162.65B
Shares (diluted) 1.36B 321.02M 711.10M
Enterprise value $43.50B $9.28B $171.65B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricKDPLKNCYMCD
P/E 33.4x 20.1x 20.2x
P/FCF 24.2x 17.6x 24.0x
P/Operating cash flow 18.8x – 15.6x
P/S 2.4x 1.2x 6.4x
P/B 1.6x 3.9x -173.5x
P/Tangible book -5.4x 3.9x -173.5x
EV/EBITDA 17.9x – 14.4x
EV/EBIT 23.3x – 16.9x
EV/Revenue 3.8x – 7.8x
EV/FCF 38.6x – 29.3x
EV/Operating cash flow 30.1x – 19.1x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -12.06 – 4.71

Growth

14 metrics
MetricKDPLKNCYMCD
Revenue growth (1Y) 27.5% – 6.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 11.3% – 4.6%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 14.6% – 5.3%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 8.9% – 4.8%
Operating income growth (1Y) 22.4% – 7.3%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) 10.4% – 5.2%
Net income growth (1Y) -2.7% – 4.7%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -2.3% – 3.2%
EPS growth (1Y) -7.2% – 5.7%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -2.8% – 4.3%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) 19.4% – 15.8%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) 9.0% – 9.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) 23.0% – 18.0%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) 6.4% – 8.3%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricKDPLKNCYMCD
Gross margin 49.4% – 89.7%
EBITDA margin 21.2% – 54.4%
Operating margin 16.2% – 46.2%
Pretax margin 9.8% – 40.4%
Net margin 7.1% – 31.7%
FCF margin 9.8% – 26.7%
Operating cash flow margin 12.6% – 40.9%
Return on equity 5.1% – –
Return on assets 1.9% – 14.6%
Return on invested capital 4.3% – 25.9%
Return on capital employed 5.4% – 22.9%
Asset turnover 0.2x – 0.5x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 1.7x – 1.3x
Stock comp / revenue 0.6% – 0.6%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricKDPLKNCYMCD
Debt / assets 34.2% – 66.5%
Debt / equity 1.0x – -39.0x
Net debt / EBITDA 6.7x – 2.6x
Debt / FCF 15.2x – 5.4x
Liabilities / assets 66.6% 48.4% 101.7%
Equity / assets 33.4% 51.6% -1.7%
Interest coverage – – 7.9x
Current ratio 0.5x 1.7x 1.1x
Quick ratio 0.2x 2.3x 0.8x
Cash ratio 0.1x 0.8x 0.2x
Altman Z-score 0.79 – 4.60

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricKDPLKNCYMCD
Dividend yield 2.6% – 3.0%
Net buyback yield -9.2% – 1.2%
Shareholder yield -6.6% – 4.1%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – 59.5%
Payout ratio (FCF) – – 70.8%
Dividend growth (1Y) – – 4.6%
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – 6.3%

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusKDPLKNCYMCD
Forward P/E 14.8xFY2026 14.9xFY2026 18.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $2.37FY2026 $2.16FY2026 $13.24FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +15.6%FY2026 +35.0%FY2026 +8.5%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +11.8% +28.2% +6.8%
Revenue, next fiscal year $25.28BFY2026 $9.64BFY2026 $29.23BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +52.3%FY2026 +36.7%FY2026 +8.7%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +13.6% +20.8% -4.0%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersKDPLKNCYMCD
Held by institutions 100.0% 0.0% 74.2%
Institutions holding 852 9 3,473
Change in shares held, QoQ +12.9% +880.6% +0.4%
Institutions buying 469 5 1,534
Institutions selling 284 0 1,485
Buyers to sellers 1.65 – 1.03

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

KDPLKNCYMCD
KDP 1.00 -0.04 0.33
LKNCY -0.04 1.00 0.02
MCD 0.33 0.02 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, KDP, LKNCY and MCD?

Mcdonalds (MCD) is the largest by market capitalisation: Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) $47.46B, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) $10.20B, Mcdonalds (MCD) $176.83B.

Which stock is cheaper, KDP, LKNCY and MCD?

Mcdonalds (MCD) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 33.3x, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) 20.1x, Mcdonalds (MCD) 20.1x). On next year's consensus earnings, Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is cheapest (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 14.8x, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) 14.9x, Mcdonalds (MCD) 18.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) +27.5%, Mcdonalds (MCD) +6.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

Mcdonalds (MCD) has the highest net margin (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 7.1%, Mcdonalds (MCD) 31.7%). On return on invested capital, Mcdonalds (MCD) leads (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 4.3%, Mcdonalds (MCD) 25.9%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) returned the most: Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) +28.8%, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) -18.9%, Mcdonalds (MCD) -18.0%. Over five years, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) compounded fastest (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) +0.5%/yr, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) +16.9%/yr, Mcdonalds (MCD) +0.7%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Only one of these companies pays a dividend: Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 0.00%, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) 0.00%, Mcdonalds (MCD) 0.03%. Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) and Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) pays no regular dividend.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Mcdonalds (MCD) has been the steadiest (Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) 26.5%, Luckin Coffee (LKNCY) 43.4%, Mcdonalds (MCD) 19.9%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, KDP, LKNCY and MCD?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Mcdonalds (MCD) leads on 7. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.