GEO vs XPO Stock Comparison

Geo and Xpo Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 Peers: Industry group
GEO Geo Group Inc
$27.57 -11.7% 1M +59.6% 1Y
Market cap
$3.69B
P/E
12.7x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
6 wins
XPO XPO, Inc.
$182.32 +5.3% 1M +45.0% 1Y
Market cap
$21.99B
P/E
54.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$8.57B
Div. yield
–
Trucking Industrials
5 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Geo leads on 6 of the 12 questions below (Geo 6, Xpo 5). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionGEOXPOLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $3.69B $21.99B XPO
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 12.7x 54.4x GEO
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 20.6x 30.8x GEO
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +15.3% +7.0% GEO
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 10.3% 4.7% GEO
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 7.5% 10.8% XPO
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 3.3x 2.3x XPO
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +59.6% +45.0% GEO
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +29.2%/yr +29.4%/yr XPO
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 49.1% 42.0% XPO
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 56/100 42/100 GEO

Percentile Scorecard

GEOXPO

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisGEOXPO
Valuation 53 #53 of 112 14 #117 of 136
Growth 60 #39 of 96 86 #18 of 122
Profitability 57 #40 of 91 60 #47 of 116
Financial Health 34 #83 of 125 24 #110 of 144
Shareholder Returns 74 #18 of 67 28 #59 of 82
Overall 56 42
  • GEO ranked among 130 companies in Business Services
  • XPO ranked among 150 companies in Transportation

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodGEOXPOSPY
1 month -11.7%+5.3% -0.8%
3 months -10.9%-12.4% +3.5%
6 months +47.7%-17.1% +7.0%
Year to date +71.0%+34.1% +12.2%
1 year +59.6%+45.0% +13.0%
3 years +213.3%+170.8% +86.3%
3 years, per year +46.4%+39.4% +23.1%
5 years +259.9%+262.0% +68.6%
5 years, per year +29.2%+29.4% +11.0%
10 years +71.1%+1,430.8% +258.0%
10 years, per year +5.5%+31.4% +13.6%

Risk

MeasureGEOXPOSPY
Volatility, 1Y 49.1%42.0% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 50.5%39.4% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.821.20 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 1.211.07 1.02
Max drawdown, 5Y -62.5%-51.3% -25.4%
From 52-week high -15.9%-20.2% -1.8%
52-week high $32.78$228.37 $779.14
52-week low $13.26$123.66 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleGEOXPO
P/E now vs peer median 12.4xmedian 21.9x 52.8xmedian 16.1x
P/S now vs peer median 1.3xmedian 0.9x 2.5xmedian 1.0x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 11.2xmedian 12.2x 18.9xmedian 8.7x
P/FCF now vs peer median 138.0xmedian 14.3x 36.3xmedian 11.5x
P/B now vs peer median 2.4xmedian 2.3x 10.9xmedian 1.2x
PEG now vs peer median 0.48median 1.02 0.77median 0.81

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsGEOXPO
Revenue $2.83B $8.57B
Operating income $315.54M $752.00M
Net income $291.54M $404.00M
Free cash flow $26.44M $588.00M
EPS (diluted) $2.21 $3.42
Cash & equivalents $54.99M $298.00M
Total debt $6.34B $3.21B
Shares (diluted) 132.02M 118.00M
Enterprise value $3.30B $20.81B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricGEOXPO
P/E 12.4x 52.8x
P/FCF 138.0x 36.3x
P/Operating cash flow 18.4x 19.6x
P/S 1.3x 2.5x
P/B 2.4x 10.9x
P/Tangible book 2.6x 12.7x
EV/EBITDA 11.2x 18.9x
EV/EBIT 16.3x 32.2x
EV/Revenue 1.8x 2.8x
EV/FCF 194.2x 41.2x
EV/Operating cash flow 25.8x 22.3x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.48 0.77

Growth

14 metrics
MetricGEOXPO
Revenue growth (1Y) 15.3% 7.0%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 5.0% 4.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – –
Operating income growth (1Y) 11.4% 11.6%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -7.0% 34.7%
Net income growth (1Y) 222.2% 17.1%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 28.5% 68.8%
EPS growth (1Y) 242.8% 18.1%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 25.6% 68.8%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -16.6% 29.2%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -4.1% 17.3%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -79.8% 281.8%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -42.6% 145.0%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricGEOXPO
Gross margin – –
EBITDA margin 16.1% 15.0%
Operating margin 11.2% 8.8%
Pretax margin 14.0% 6.4%
Net margin 10.3% 4.7%
FCF margin 0.9% 6.9%
Operating cash flow margin 7.0% 12.7%
Return on equity 19.4% 21.2%
Return on assets 7.7% 4.9%
Return on invested capital 7.5% 10.8%
Return on capital employed 9.3% 11.6%
Asset turnover 0.7x 1.0x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.7x 2.7x
Stock comp / revenue 0.9% 0.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricGEOXPO
Debt / assets 41.2% 38.5%
Debt / equity 1.0x 1.6x
Net debt / EBITDA 3.3x 2.3x
Debt / FCF 58.3x 5.5x
Liabilities / assets 59.5% 76.5%
Equity / assets 40.5% 23.5%
Interest coverage 2.1x 3.6x
Current ratio 1.7x 1.0x
Quick ratio 1.5x 0.9x
Cash ratio 0.1x 0.2x
Altman Z-score 2.24 3.53

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricGEOXPO
Dividend yield – –
Net buyback yield 4.8% 1.0%
Shareholder yield 4.8% 1.0%
Payout ratio (earnings) – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusGEOXPO
Forward P/E 20.6xFY2026 30.8xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $1.34FY2026 $5.91FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +55.8%FY2026 +58.4%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +44.8% +6.3%
Revenue, next fiscal year $3.17BFY2026 $9.30BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +20.6%FY2026 +13.9%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after -1.3% +5.4%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersGEOXPO
Held by institutions 94.2% 100.0%
Institutions holding 292 749
Change in shares held, QoQ -2.2% +2.2%
Institutions buying 151 431
Institutions selling 97 211
Buyers to sellers 1.56 2.04

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

GEOXPO
GEO 1.00 0.17
XPO 0.17 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, GEO and XPO?

Xpo (XPO) is the largest by market capitalisation: Geo (GEO) $3.69B, Xpo (XPO) $21.99B.

Which stock is cheaper, GEO and XPO?

Geo (GEO) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Geo (GEO) 12.7x, Xpo (XPO) 54.4x). On next year's consensus earnings, Geo (GEO) is cheapest (Geo (GEO) 20.6x, Xpo (XPO) 30.8x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Geo (GEO) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Geo (GEO) +15.3%, Xpo (XPO) +7.0%.

Which company is more profitable?

Geo (GEO) has the highest net margin (Geo (GEO) 10.3%, Xpo (XPO) 4.7%). On return on invested capital, Xpo (XPO) leads (Geo (GEO) 7.5%, Xpo (XPO) 10.8%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Geo (GEO) returned the most: Geo (GEO) +59.6%, Xpo (XPO) +45.0%. Over five years, Xpo (XPO) compounded fastest (Geo (GEO) +29.2%/yr, Xpo (XPO) +29.4%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Xpo (XPO) has been the steadiest (Geo (GEO) 49.1%, Xpo (XPO) 42.0%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Do GEO and XPO move together?

Their daily returns over the past year have a correlation of 0.17, a weak relationship. Holding both diversifies more than two closely linked stocks would.

Which is the better stock, GEO and XPO?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Geo (GEO) leads on 6. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.