GEO vs TFII vs XPO Stock Comparison

Geo, TFI International and Xpo Prices as of Nov 4, 2026 Peers: Industry group
GEO Geo Group Inc
$27.53 -14.9% 1M +68.1% 1Y
Market cap
$3.32B
P/E
11.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
4 wins
TFII TFI International Inc.
$100.28 -12.6% 1M +12.0% 1Y
Market cap
$8.00B
P/E
18.9x
Revenue (TTM)
$8.39B
Div. yield
–
Trucking Industrials
4 wins
XPO XPO, Inc.
$188.23 +2.9% 1M +33.8% 1Y
Market cap
$20.72B
P/E
41.2x
Revenue (TTM)
$8.84B
Div. yield
–
Trucking Industrials
3 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

Geo leads on 4 of the 12 questions below (Geo 4, TFI International 4, Xpo 3). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionGEOTFIIXPOLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $3.32B $8.00B $20.72B XPO
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 11.4x 18.9x 41.2x GEO
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 20.5x 17.5x 31.8x TFII
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +15.3% +4.2% +9.5% GEO
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 10.3% 5.0% 5.7% GEO
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 7.5% 17.7% 12.7% TFII
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 3.3x 0.0x 2.0x TFII
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +68.1% +12.0% +33.8% GEO
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +23.6%/yr -2.6%/yr +32.2%/yr XPO
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 49.2% 41.0% 40.9% XPO
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 57/100 62/100 48/100 TFII

Percentile Scorecard

GEOTFIIXPO

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisGEOTFIIXPO
Valuation 56 #51 of 114 68 #44 of 137 17 #114 of 137
Growth 60 #40 of 98 37 #80 of 127 91 #13 of 127
Profitability 61 #38 of 95 65 #44 of 125 66 #43 of 125
Financial Health 34 #84 of 126 63 #55 of 147 25 #110 of 147
Shareholder Returns 77 #17 of 70 76 #22 of 88 41 #52 of 88
Overall 57 62 48
  • GEO ranked among 131 companies in Business Services
  • TFII ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • XPO ranked among 150 companies in Transportation

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodGEOTFIIXPOSPY
1 month -14.9%-12.6%+2.9% -1.0%
3 months -12.4%-28.0%-5.9% -0.4%
6 months +24.0%-28.0%-11.0% +4.5%
Year to date +70.8%-3.0%+38.5% +12.4%
1 year +68.1%+12.0%+33.8% +13.6%
3 years +204.5%-12.1%+136.7% +76.4%
3 years, per year +45.0%-4.2%+33.3% +20.8%
5 years +188.0%-12.4%+303.1% +63.7%
5 years, per year +23.6%-2.6%+32.2% +10.4%
10 years +75.1%+344.7%+1,469.9% +267.7%
10 years, per year +5.8%+16.1%+31.7% +13.9%

Risk

MeasureGEOTFIIXPOSPY
Volatility, 1Y 49.2%41.0%40.9% 12.8%
Downside volatility, 1Y 50.8%45.4%39.2% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.761.221.18 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 1.380.290.83 1.06
Max drawdown, 5Y -62.5%-54.5%-47.0% -25.4%
From 52-week high -16.0%-38.6%-17.6% -1.6%
52-week high $32.78$163.36$228.37 $779.14
52-week low $13.26$80.71$125.64 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleGEOTFIIXPO
P/E now vs peer median 12.3xmedian 23.0x 19.7xmedian 14.5x 43.8xmedian 14.5x
P/S now vs peer median 1.3xmedian 0.9x 1.0xmedian 1.0x 2.5xmedian 1.0x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 11.2xmedian 12.1x 8.1xmedian 8.2x 17.7xmedian 8.2x
P/FCF now vs peer median 137.8xmedian 15.8x 7.0xmedian 12.9x 33.5xmedian 12.9x
P/B now vs peer median 2.4xmedian 2.4x 3.0xmedian 1.2x 11.2xmedian 1.2x
PEG now vs peer median 0.48median 1.13 -3.77median 0.64 0.31median 0.64

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsGEOTFIIXPO
Revenue $2.83B $8.39B $8.84B
Operating income $315.54M $624.12M $876.00M
Net income $291.54M $356.83M $503.00M
Free cash flow $26.44M $1.21B $657.00M
EPS (diluted) $2.21 $5.07 $4.26
Cash & equivalents $54.99M $187.49M $260.00M
Total debt $1.54B $186.52M $3.12B
Shares (diluted) 132.02M 83.41M 118.00M
Enterprise value $2.93B $7.21B $19.61B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricGEOTFIIXPO
P/E 12.3x 19.7x 43.8x
P/FCF 137.8x 7.0x 33.5x
P/Operating cash flow 18.3x 9.5x 19.5x
P/S 1.3x 1.0x 2.5x
P/B 2.4x 3.0x 11.2x
P/Tangible book 2.6x -4.4x 12.9x
EV/EBITDA 11.2x 8.1x 17.7x
EV/EBIT 16.3x 13.6x 28.4x
EV/Revenue 1.8x 1.0x 2.8x
EV/FCF 194.0x 7.0x 37.9x
EV/Operating cash flow 25.8x 9.5x 22.0x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 0.48 -3.77 0.31

Growth

14 metrics
MetricGEOTFIIXPO
Revenue growth (1Y) 15.3% 4.2% 9.5%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 5.0% 3.7% 5.0%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) 11.4% 4.3% 32.3%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -7.0% -7.0% 39.5%
Net income growth (1Y) 222.2% 9.1% 51.5%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 28.5% -12.2% 138.7%
EPS growth (1Y) 242.8% 14.5% 54.1%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 25.6% -5.2% 139.3%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -16.6% -6.6% 19.3%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -4.1% -2.3% 21.0%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -79.8% -0.9% 183.2%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -42.6% -3.6% 217.0%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricGEOTFIIXPO
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 16.1% 12.4% 15.9%
Operating margin 11.2% 7.4% 9.9%
Pretax margin 14.0% 7.8% 7.6%
Net margin 10.3% 5.0% 5.7%
FCF margin 0.9% 14.4% 7.4%
Operating cash flow margin 7.0% 10.7% 12.8%
Return on equity 19.4% 12.9% 25.5%
Return on assets 7.7% 4.8% 6.0%
Return on invested capital 7.5% 17.7% 12.7%
Return on capital employed 9.3% 10.0% 13.4%
Asset turnover 0.7x 1.1x 1.1x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.7x 2.5x 2.3x
Stock comp / revenue 0.9% 0.2% 0.9%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricGEOTFIIXPO
Debt / assets 41.2% 2.5% 37.6%
Debt / equity 1.0x 0.1x 1.6x
Net debt / EBITDA 3.3x 0.0x 2.0x
Debt / FCF 58.3x 0.2x 4.8x
Liabilities / assets 59.5% 62.6% 76.3%
Equity / assets 40.5% 37.4% 23.7%
Interest coverage 2.1x 3.7x 4.2x
Current ratio 1.7x 1.1x 1.0x
Quick ratio 1.5x 1.0x 0.8x
Cash ratio 0.1x 0.1x 0.1x
Altman Z-score 2.24 2.85 3.72

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricGEOTFIIXPO
Dividend yield – 1.9% –
Net buyback yield 4.8% 5.1% 1.4%
Shareholder yield 4.8% 7.0% 1.4%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusGEOTFIIXPO
Forward P/E 20.5xFY2026 17.5xFY2026 31.8xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $1.34FY2026 $5.73FY2026 $5.91FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +55.8%FY2026 +31.1%FY2026 +58.4%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +44.8% +40.5% +6.3%
Revenue, next fiscal year $3.17BFY2026 $8.41BFY2026 $9.30BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +20.6%FY2026 +6.7%FY2026 +13.9%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after -1.3% +1.0% +5.4%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersGEOTFIIXPO
Held by institutions 94.2% 69.4% 100.0%
Institutions holding 292 296 753
Change in shares held, QoQ -2.2% +1.2% +2.2%
Institutions buying 151 175 434
Institutions selling 97 90 211
Buyers to sellers 1.56 1.94 2.06

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

GEOTFIIXPO
GEO 1.00 0.21 0.18
TFII 0.21 1.00 0.57
XPO 0.18 0.57 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, GEO, TFII and XPO?

Xpo (XPO) is the largest by market capitalisation: Geo (GEO) $3.32B, TFI International (TFII) $8.00B, Xpo (XPO) $20.72B.

Which stock is cheaper, GEO, TFII and XPO?

Geo (GEO) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Geo (GEO) 11.4x, TFI International (TFII) 18.9x, Xpo (XPO) 41.2x). On next year's consensus earnings, TFI International (TFII) is cheapest (Geo (GEO) 20.5x, TFI International (TFII) 17.5x, Xpo (XPO) 31.8x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Geo (GEO) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Geo (GEO) +15.3%, TFI International (TFII) +4.2%, Xpo (XPO) +9.5%.

Which company is more profitable?

Geo (GEO) has the highest net margin (Geo (GEO) 10.3%, TFI International (TFII) 5.0%, Xpo (XPO) 5.7%). On return on invested capital, TFI International (TFII) leads (Geo (GEO) 7.5%, TFI International (TFII) 17.7%, Xpo (XPO) 12.7%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Geo (GEO) returned the most: Geo (GEO) +68.1%, TFI International (TFII) +12.0%, Xpo (XPO) +33.8%. Over five years, Xpo (XPO) compounded fastest (Geo (GEO) +23.6%/yr, TFI International (TFII) -2.6%/yr, Xpo (XPO) +32.2%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Xpo (XPO) has been the steadiest (Geo (GEO) 49.2%, TFI International (TFII) 41.0%, Xpo (XPO) 40.9%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, GEO, TFII and XPO?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Geo (GEO) leads on 4. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.