ERIE vs AJG vs BWIN Stock Comparison

Erie Indemnity, Arthur J. Gallagher and Baldwin Insurance Prices as of Nov 3, 2026 Peers: Industry group
ERIE Erie Indemnity Co
$269.67 +22.0% 1M -5.5% 1Y
Market cap
$12.94B
P/E
22.5x
Revenue (TTM)
$4.12B
Div. yield
0.02%
Insurance Brokers Financial Services
3 wins
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
$273.45 +20.9% 1M +12.5% 1Y
Market cap
$74.10B
P/E
37.2x
Revenue (TTM)
—
Div. yield
–
Insurance Brokers Financial Services
3 wins

Head to Head

9 decided of 12

Arthur J. Gallagher leads on 3 of the 12 questions below (Arthur J. Gallagher 3, Erie Indemnity 3, Baldwin Insurance 3). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionERIEAJGBWINLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $12.94B $74.10B $2.98B AJG
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 22.5x 37.2x -36.6x ERIE
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 22.6x 19.9x 14.9x BWIN
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +2.0% — +7.6% BWIN
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 14.0% — -611.2% ERIE
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital — — -1.5% –
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA — — 28.2x –
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -5.5% +12.5% +42.7% BWIN
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +4.3%/yr +11.2%/yr -3.4%/yr AJG
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 38.2% 32.3% 58.3% AJG
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 48/100 27/100 15/100 ERIE

Percentile Scorecard

ERIEAJGBWIN

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisERIEAJGBWIN
Valuation 13 #104 of 119 9 #108 of 119 1 #118 of 119
Growth 33 #78 of 116 – 36 #75 of 116
Profitability 81 #23 of 116 – 9 #106 of 116
Financial Health 82 #22 of 118 61 #47 of 118 4 #113 of 118
Shareholder Returns 31 #76 of 109 11 #97 of 109 28 #79 of 109
Overall 48 27 15
  • ERIE ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • AJG ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • BWIN ranked among 126 companies in Insurance

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodERIEAJGBWINSPY
1 month +22.0%+20.9%+0.7% -2.0%
3 months +10.3%+10.2%+10.8% -2.2%
6 months +21.9%+32.9%+50.4% +4.2%
Year to date -5.9%+5.7%+33.1% +10.6%
1 year -5.5%+12.5%+42.7% +10.4%
3 years -3.1%+12.8%+42.2% +73.6%
3 years, per year -1.0%+4.1%+12.5% +20.2%
5 years +23.6%+70.1%-15.7% +61.6%
5 years, per year +4.3%+11.2%-3.4% +10.1%
10 years +165.9%+473.6%— +261.3%
10 years, per year +10.3%+19.1%— +13.7%

Risk

MeasureERIEAJGBWINSPY
Volatility, 1Y 38.2%32.3%58.3% 12.8%
Downside volatility, 1Y 39.0%32.0%49.6% 12.8%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y -0.53-0.41-0.06 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.140.390.73 0.81
Max drawdown, 5Y -62.0%-44.9%-70.2% -25.4%
From 52-week high -10.0%-2.0%0.0% -3.2%
52-week high $299.78$278.98$32.00 $779.14
52-week low $207.24$192.00$16.50 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleERIEAJGBWIN
P/E now vs peer median 21.6xmedian 10.9x 37.2xmedian 10.9x -36.5xmedian 10.9x
P/S now vs peer median 3.0xmedian 1.4x 3.7xmedian 1.4x 335.6xmedian 1.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median —median 7.3x —median 7.3x 83.6xmedian 7.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 22.5xmedian 8.7x 25.6xmedian 8.7x 102.1xmedian 8.7x
P/B now vs peer median 4.9xmedian 1.6x 2.9xmedian 1.6x 3.1xmedian 1.6x
PEG now vs peer median 1.68median 0.60 —median 0.60 -1.65median 0.60

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsERIEAJGBWIN
Revenue $4.12B – $13.29M
Operating income $736.01M – -$119.63M
Net income $576.14M – -$127.55M
Free cash flow $554.04M – $43.71M
EPS (diluted) $226,647.13 – $-0.88
Cash & equivalents $362.69M $1.21B $184.50M
Total debt – – $2.45B
Shares (diluted) 2.54K 258.70M 92.76M
Enterprise value $11.47B $74.10B $2.43B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricERIEAJGBWIN
P/E 21.6x 37.2x -36.5x
P/FCF 22.5x 25.6x 102.1x
P/Operating cash flow 18.0x – 49.1x
P/S 3.0x 3.7x 335.6x
P/B 4.9x 2.9x 3.1x
P/Tangible book 4.9x 5.1x -154.5x
EV/EBITDA – – 83.6x
EV/EBIT 16.3x – -56.2x
EV/Revenue 2.9x – 506.2x
EV/FCF 21.7x – 153.9x
EV/Operating cash flow 17.4x – 74.1x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) 1.68 – -1.65

Growth

14 metrics
MetricERIEAJGBWIN
Revenue growth (1Y) 2.0% – 7.6%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) 9.4% – -76.2%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) 1.3% – -227.4%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) 15.7% – -3.1%
Net income growth (1Y) -11.1% – -331.5%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 12.9% – 15.0%
EPS growth (1Y) -11.1% – -235.3%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 12.9% – 22.1%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -2.4% – 279.4%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) 24.2% – 34.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -4.0% – 146.9%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) 26.7% – 36.2%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricERIEAJGBWIN
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin – – 605.3%
Operating margin 17.9% – -900.0%
Pretax margin 17.8% – -2,082%
Net margin 14.0% – -611.2%
FCF margin 13.4% – 328.8%
Operating cash flow margin 16.8% – 682.9%
Return on equity 23.0% – -8.9%
Return on assets 16.0% – -2.2%
Return on invested capital – – -1.5%
Return on capital employed 28.3% – -2.8%
Asset turnover 1.1x – 0.0x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 1.2x – -0.7x
Stock comp / revenue – – 563.3%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricERIEAJGBWIN
Debt / assets – – 39.7%
Debt / equity – – 1.7x
Net debt / EBITDA – – 28.2x
Debt / FCF – – 56.1x
Liabilities / assets 30.3% 69.6% 77.0%
Equity / assets 69.7% 30.4% 23.0%
Interest coverage – – –
Current ratio 1.3x 1.1x 1.1x
Quick ratio 1.2x – 0.6x
Cash ratio 0.4x – 0.1x
Altman Z-score 10.07 – 0.44

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricERIEAJGBWIN
Dividend yield 2.2% 1.0% –
Net buyback yield – – 2.8%
Shareholder yield 2.2% 1.0% 2.8%
Payout ratio (earnings) 46.5% – –
Payout ratio (FCF) 48.4% – –
Dividend growth (1Y) 7.1% – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) 7.1% – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusERIEAJGBWIN
Forward P/E 22.6xFY2026 19.9xFY2026 14.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $11.94FY2026 $13.76FY2026 $2.14FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +11.7%FY2026 +28.7%FY2026 +28.1%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +33.9% +13.3% +20.6%
Revenue, next fiscal year $4.09BFY2026 $17.07BFY2026 $2.08BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +0.4%FY2026 +23.9%FY2026 +38.8%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +11.9% +0.7% +1.6%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersERIEAJGBWIN
Held by institutions 45.2% 93.0% 93.3%
Institutions holding 438 1,294 231
Change in shares held, QoQ +4.5% +4.0% +0.2%
Institutions buying 272 623 112
Institutions selling 112 485 76
Buyers to sellers 2.43 1.28 1.47

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ERIEAJGBWIN
ERIE 1.00 0.61 0.32
AJG 0.61 1.00 0.45
BWIN 0.32 0.45 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ERIE, AJG and BWIN?

Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) is the largest by market capitalisation: Erie Indemnity (ERIE) $12.94B, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) $74.10B, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) $2.98B.

Which stock is cheaper, ERIE, AJG and BWIN?

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Erie Indemnity (ERIE) 22.5x, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) 37.2x, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) -36.6x). On next year's consensus earnings, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) is cheapest (Erie Indemnity (ERIE) 22.6x, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) 19.9x, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) 14.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Erie Indemnity (ERIE) +2.0%, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) +7.6%.

Which company is more profitable?

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) has the highest net margin (Erie Indemnity (ERIE) 14.0%, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) -611.2%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) returned the most: Erie Indemnity (ERIE) -5.5%, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) +12.5%, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) +42.7%. Over five years, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) compounded fastest (Erie Indemnity (ERIE) +4.3%/yr, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) +11.2%/yr, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) -3.4%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Only one of these companies pays a dividend: Erie Indemnity (ERIE) 0.02%, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) 0.00%, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) 0.00%. Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) and Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) pays no regular dividend.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) has been the steadiest (Erie Indemnity (ERIE) 38.2%, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) 32.3%, Baldwin Insurance (BWIN) 58.3%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, ERIE, AJG and BWIN?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) leads on 3. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.