COP vs EXE vs MPC Stock Comparison

Conocophillips, Expand Energy and Marathon Petroleum Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 Peers: Industry group
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COP Conocophillips
$151.41 +18.9% 1M +72.0% 1Y
Market cap
$179.56B
P/E
19.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$65.28B
Div. yield
0.02%
Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Energy
4 wins
EXE EXPAND ENERGY Corp
$94.02 +8.3% 1M -9.4% 1Y
Market cap
$22.54B
P/E
8.1x
Revenue (TTM)
$13.60B
Div. yield
0.03%
Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Energy
5 wins
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp
$470.49 +19.6% 1M +139.8% 1Y
Market cap
$125.80B
P/E
14.7x
Revenue (TTM)
$156.18B
Div. yield
0.01%
Oil Refining Energy
3 wins

Head to Head

12 decided of 12

Expand Energy leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Expand Energy 5, Conocophillips 4, Marathon Petroleum 3). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionCOPEXEMPCLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $179.56B $22.54B $125.80B COP
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 19.3x 8.1x 14.7x EXE
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 13.6x 10.4x 6.9x MPC
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +8.5% +59.3% +15.9% EXE
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 14.2% 20.5% 5.5% EXE
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital 22.5% 12.1% 19.7% COP
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 0.4x 0.5x 1.5x COP
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.02% 0.03% 0.01% EXE
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +72.0% -9.4% +139.8% MPC
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years +15.3%/yr +7.3%/yr +48.1%/yr MPC
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 30.1% 30.3% 36.1% COP
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 60/100 83/100 60/100 EXE

Percentile Scorecard

COPEXEMPC

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisCOPEXEMPC
Valuation 41 #59 of 99 96 #5 of 99 27 #17 of 23
Growth 57 #42 of 97 95 #6 of 97 67 #7 of 19
Profitability 88 #12 of 96 76 #24 of 96 94 #2 of 18
Financial Health 70 #31 of 102 73 #28 of 102 57 #11 of 24
Shareholder Returns 45 #42 of 76 73 #21 of 76 53 #9 of 18
Overall 60 83 60
  • COP ranked among 103 companies in Oil and Gas Upstream
  • EXE ranked among 103 companies in Oil and Gas Upstream
  • MPC ranked among 25 companies in Refining and Marketing

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodCOPEXEMPCSPY
1 month +18.9%+8.3%+19.6% -0.8%
3 months +31.0%+3.9%+50.6% +3.5%
6 months +24.4%-2.4%+107.1% +7.0%
Year to date +61.7%-14.8%+189.3% +12.2%
1 year +72.0%-9.4%+139.8% +13.0%
3 years +28.5%+9.6%+222.3% +86.3%
3 years, per year +8.7%+3.1%+47.7% +23.1%
5 years +103.4%+42.0%+611.2% +68.6%
5 years, per year +15.3%+7.3%+48.1% +11.0%
10 years +262.2%—+963.0% +258.0%
10 years, per year +13.7%—+26.7% +13.6%

Risk

MeasureCOPEXEMPCSPY
Volatility, 1Y 30.1%30.3%36.1% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 29.5%29.2%34.7% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y -0.71-0.14-0.24 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 2.39-0.313.87 1.02
Max drawdown, 5Y -38.7%-32.9%-45.9% -25.4%
From 52-week high 0.0%-23.5%-3.0% -1.8%
52-week high $151.41$122.89$485.05 $779.14
52-week low $85.66$84.09$162.63 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleCOPEXEMPC
P/E now vs peer median 19.8xmedian 13.5x 8.1xmedian 13.5x 15.9xmedian 9.5x
P/S now vs peer median 2.8xmedian 2.1x 1.6xmedian 2.1x 0.8xmedian 0.3x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 4.6xmedian 5.9x 3.8xmedian 5.9x 9.0xmedian 7.3x
P/FCF now vs peer median 18.1xmedian 11.0x 8.1xmedian 11.0x 10.2xmedian 9.5x
P/B now vs peer median 2.8xmedian 1.5x 1.1xmedian 1.5x 5.1xmedian 1.9x
PEG now vs peer median -1.88median 2.27 -0.23median 2.27 -15.47median 0.35

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsCOPEXEMPC
Revenue $65.28B $13.60B $156.18B
Gross profit $41.24B $10.38B $21.79B
Operating income $31.28B $3.66B $14.13B
Net income $9.28B $2.78B $10.31B
Free cash flow $10.06B $2.68B $12.90B
R&D $393.00M $49.00M –
EPS (diluted) $7.64 $11.67 $29.50
Cash & equivalents $6.57B $663.00M $7.77B
Total debt $23.29B $3.69B $33.26B
Shares (diluted) 1.21B 238.36M 290.00M
Enterprise value $152.27B $18.43B $109.56B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricCOPEXEMPC
P/E 19.8x 8.1x 15.9x
P/FCF 18.1x 8.1x 10.2x
P/Operating cash flow 8.3x 3.8x 7.7x
P/S 2.8x 1.6x 0.8x
P/B 2.8x 1.1x 5.1x
P/Tangible book 2.8x 1.1x 5.7x
EV/EBITDA 4.6x 3.8x 9.0x
EV/EBIT 6.3x 6.8x 11.2x
EV/Revenue 3.0x 1.8x 1.0x
EV/FCF 19.6x 9.3x 12.2x
EV/Operating cash flow 9.0x 4.4x 9.2x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -1.88 -0.23 -15.47

Growth

14 metrics
MetricCOPEXEMPC
Revenue growth (1Y) 8.5% 59.3% 15.9%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) -2.0% 2.7% -0.6%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 5.5% 73.5% 71.5%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) 0.6% 4.3% -5.4%
Operating income growth (1Y) 6.2% 696.1% 163.0%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -2.0% -13.0% -9.1%
Net income growth (1Y) 1.1% 1,250% 174.5%
Net income CAGR (3Y) -10.5% -23.6% -10.4%
EPS growth (1Y) 4.8% 1,262% 324.1%
EPS CAGR (3Y) -10.6% -35.3% -1.0%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) 10.6% 75.5% 164.9%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -3.8% 14.5% 4.8%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) 45.4% 129.4% 253.7%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -3.5% 16.9% 1.0%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricCOPEXEMPC
Gross margin 63.2% 76.3% 14.0%
EBITDA margin 66.0% 48.5% 11.2%
Operating margin 47.9% 26.9% 9.0%
Pretax margin 22.4% 26.0% 8.2%
Net margin 14.2% 20.5% 5.5%
FCF margin 15.4% 19.7% 8.3%
Operating cash flow margin 33.6% 41.6% 11.0%
Return on equity 14.3% 14.3% 42.0%
Return on assets 7.5% 9.7% 11.3%
Return on invested capital 22.5% 12.1% 19.7%
Return on capital employed 28.2% 14.2% 22.1%
Asset turnover 0.5x 0.5x 1.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 2.4x 2.0x 1.7x
Stock comp / revenue – 0.3% –

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricCOPEXEMPC
Debt / assets 18.7% 13.1% 35.3%
Debt / equity 0.4x 0.2x 1.3x
Net debt / EBITDA 0.4x 0.5x 1.5x
Debt / FCF 2.3x 1.4x 2.6x
Liabilities / assets 47.4% 30.8% 72.7%
Equity / assets 52.6% 69.2% 27.3%
Interest coverage 39.2x 16.8x 10.4x
Current ratio 1.5x 1.0x 1.3x
Quick ratio 1.2x 0.6x 0.9x
Cash ratio 0.6x 0.2x 0.3x
Altman Z-score 4.10 2.71 4.06

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricCOPEXEMPC
Dividend yield 2.2% 2.4% 0.9%
Net buyback yield 3.0% 2.6% 3.7%
Shareholder yield 5.2% 5.0% 4.6%
Payout ratio (earnings) 43.8% 27.5% 11.3%
Payout ratio (FCF) 40.4% 28.6% 9.0%
Dividend growth (1Y) 7.4% 55.8% 2.8%
Dividend CAGR (3Y) -15.4% -9.7% -3.4%

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusCOPEXEMPC
Forward P/E 13.6xFY2026 10.4xFY2026 6.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $11.12FY2026 $9.02FY2026 $68.44FY2026
EPS growth, next FY +80.5%FY2026 +47.9%FY2026 +539.6%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after -3.1% -14.2% -13.2%
Revenue, next fiscal year $76.43BFY2026 $12.26BFY2026 $192.95BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +24.2%FY2026 +1.2%FY2026 +42.7%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after -5.8% +6.9% -9.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersCOPEXEMPC
Held by institutions 84.0% – 75.7%
Institutions holding 2,436 – 1,930
Change in shares held, QoQ -1.6% – -0.3%
Institutions buying 1,119 – 855
Institutions selling 961 – 699
Buyers to sellers 1.16 – 1.22

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

COPEXEMPC
COP 1.00 0.37 0.52
EXE 0.37 1.00 0.21
MPC 0.52 0.21 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, COP, EXE and MPC?

Conocophillips (COP) is the largest by market capitalisation: Conocophillips (COP) $179.56B, Expand Energy (EXE) $22.54B, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) $125.80B.

Which stock is cheaper, COP, EXE and MPC?

Expand Energy (EXE) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Conocophillips (COP) 19.3x, Expand Energy (EXE) 8.1x, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 14.7x). On next year's consensus earnings, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is cheapest (Conocophillips (COP) 13.6x, Expand Energy (EXE) 10.4x, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 6.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Expand Energy (EXE) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Conocophillips (COP) +8.5%, Expand Energy (EXE) +59.3%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) +15.9%.

Which company is more profitable?

Expand Energy (EXE) has the highest net margin (Conocophillips (COP) 14.2%, Expand Energy (EXE) 20.5%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 5.5%). On return on invested capital, Conocophillips (COP) leads (Conocophillips (COP) 22.5%, Expand Energy (EXE) 12.1%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 19.7%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Marathon Petroleum (MPC) returned the most: Conocophillips (COP) +72.0%, Expand Energy (EXE) -9.4%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) +139.8%. Over five years, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) compounded fastest (Conocophillips (COP) +15.3%/yr, Expand Energy (EXE) +7.3%/yr, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) +48.1%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Expand Energy (EXE) has the highest dividend yield: Conocophillips (COP) 0.02%, Expand Energy (EXE) 0.03%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 0.01%.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Conocophillips (COP) has been the steadiest (Conocophillips (COP) 30.1%, Expand Energy (EXE) 30.3%, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) 36.1%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, COP, EXE and MPC?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Expand Energy (EXE) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.