ARX vs AFL vs PGR Stock Comparison

Accelerant Holdings, Aflac and Progressive Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 Peers: Industry group
ARX Accelerant Holdings
$19.82 +0.3% 1M +58.9% 1Y
Market cap
$4.32B
P/E
–
Revenue (TTM)
$1.15B
Div. yield
–
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
2 wins
AFL Aflac Inc
$120.93 +6.3% 1M +12.8% 1Y
Market cap
$61.58B
P/E
12.7x
Revenue (TTM)
$18.07B
Div. yield
–
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
3 wins
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/
$229.31 +11.6% 1M +4.7% 1Y
Market cap
$131.43B
P/E
11.3x
Revenue (TTM)
$91.74B
Div. yield
–
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
5 wins

Head to Head

10 decided of 12

Progressive leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (Progressive 5, Aflac 3, Accelerant Holdings 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionARXAFLPGRLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $4.32B $61.58B $131.43B PGR
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -3.2x 12.7x 11.3x PGR
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 23.0x 16.6x 12.9x PGR
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +54.6% +10.9% +7.7% ARX
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -119.3% 26.9% — AFL
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital -179.7% -2.7% — AFL
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 1.0x — — –
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +58.9% +12.8% +4.7% ARX
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years — +16.7%/yr +19.5%/yr PGR
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 67.5% 17.6% 27.7% AFL
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 12/100 43/100 66/100 PGR

Percentile Scorecard

ARXAFLPGR

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisARXAFLPGR
Valuation 1 #118 of 119 14 #103 of 119 36 #77 of 119
Growth 9 #105 of 115 39 #71 of 115 68 #38 of 115
Profitability 4 #109 of 113 44 #64 of 113 –
Financial Health 29 #81 of 114 35 #74 of 114 –
Shareholder Returns 19 #87 of 107 86 #16 of 107 94 #7 of 107
Overall 12 43 66
  • ARX ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • AFL ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • PGR ranked among 126 companies in Insurance

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodARXAFLPGRSPY
1 month +0.3%+6.3%+11.6% -0.8%
3 months +35.8%-4.5%+6.3% +3.5%
6 months +45.9%+5.4%+13.5% +7.0%
Year to date +21.2%+9.7%+0.7% +12.2%
1 year +58.9%+12.8%+4.7% +13.0%
3 years —+58.1%+49.8% +86.3%
3 years, per year —+16.5%+14.4% +23.1%
5 years —+115.9%+143.2% +68.6%
5 years, per year —+16.7%+19.5% +11.0%
10 years —+246.5%+617.0% +258.0%
10 years, per year —+13.2%+21.8% +13.6%

Risk

MeasureARXAFLPGRSPY
Volatility, 1Y 67.5%17.6%27.7% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 59.8%17.1%30.0% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.05-0.23-0.51 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 0.870.730.17 1.02
Max drawdown, 5Y -68.9%-20.4%-34.6% -25.4%
From 52-week high -0.4%-6.6%-3.0% -1.8%
52-week high $19.89$129.53$236.36 $779.14
52-week low $9.36$105.70$190.40 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleARXAFLPGR
P/E now vs peer median -3.2xmedian 10.6x 12.5xmedian 10.6x 11.5xmedian 10.6x
P/S now vs peer median 3.8xmedian 1.4x 3.4xmedian 1.4x 1.5xmedian 1.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median -1.9xmedian 7.6x —median 7.6x —median 7.6x
P/FCF now vs peer median 93.9xmedian 8.6x 22.9xmedian 8.6x 7.7xmedian 8.6x
P/B now vs peer median 5.8xmedian 1.5x 2.0xmedian 1.5x 3.9xmedian 1.5x
PEG now vs peer median —median 0.52 1.93median 0.52 0.18median 0.52

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsARXAFLPGR
Revenue $1.15B $18.07B $91.74B
Gross profit $885.00M $11.05B –
Operating income -$1.53B -$1.24B –
Net income -$1.28B $4.86B –
Free cash flow $45.80M $2.65B –
EPS (diluted) $-6.22 $9.62 $19.89
Cash & equivalents $1.66B $6.12B –
Total debt $120.10M $8.73B –
Shares (diluted) 219.69M 505.58M 584.20M
Enterprise value -$2.34B $36.79B $131.43B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricARXAFLPGR
P/E -3.2x 12.5x 11.5x
P/FCF 93.9x 22.9x 7.7x
P/Operating cash flow 93.9x 22.9x –
P/S 3.8x 3.4x 1.5x
P/B 5.8x 2.0x 3.9x
P/Tangible book 5.8x 2.0x 3.9x
EV/EBITDA -1.9x – –
EV/EBIT -1.8x -51.3x –
EV/Revenue 2.4x 3.5x 1.5x
EV/FCF 60.3x 23.9x –
EV/Operating cash flow 60.3x 23.9x –
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) – 1.93 0.18

Growth

14 metrics
MetricARXAFLPGR
Revenue growth (1Y) 54.6% 10.9% 7.7%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) – -1.0% 16.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 61.0% 25.3% –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – 2.5% –
Operating income growth (1Y) -1,080% 68.3% –
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – 28.2% –
Net income growth (1Y) -2,833% 99.5% –
Net income CAGR (3Y) – 0.4% –
EPS growth (1Y) -2,986% 112.5% 9.2%
EPS CAGR (3Y) – 6.5% 62.8%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -94.5% 2.2% –
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) – -8.4% –
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -94.5% 2.2% –
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) – -8.4% –

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricARXAFLPGR
Gross margin 77.2% 61.1% –
EBITDA margin -130.1% – –
Operating margin -133.6% -6.8% –
Pretax margin -110.8% 32.0% –
Net margin -119.3% 26.9% –
FCF margin 4.0% 14.6% –
Operating cash flow margin 4.0% 14.6% –
Return on equity -176.3% 16.1% –
Return on assets -14.7% 4.2% –
Return on invested capital -179.7% -2.7% –
Return on capital employed – – –
Asset turnover 0.1x 0.2x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.0x 0.5x –
Stock comp / revenue 7.8% – –

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricARXAFLPGR
Debt / assets 1.3% 7.5% –
Debt / equity 0.2x 0.3x –
Net debt / EBITDA 1.0x – –
Debt / FCF 2.6x 3.3x –
Liabilities / assets 91.7% 73.9% 73.0%
Equity / assets 8.3% 26.1% 27.0%
Interest coverage -143.1x -5.1x –
Current ratio – – –
Quick ratio – – –
Cash ratio – – –
Altman Z-score – – –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricARXAFLPGR
Dividend yield – 2.0% 6.1%
Net buyback yield 1.9% 6.2% –
Shareholder yield 1.9% 8.2% 6.1%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusARXAFLPGR
Forward P/E 23.0xFY2026 16.6xFY2026 12.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $0.86FY2026 $7.27FY2026 $17.71FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -8.5%FY2026 -2.9%FY2026 -1.9%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +11.6% +8.3% -11.2%
Revenue, next fiscal year $1.18BFY2026 $17.70BFY2026 $91.77BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +28.8%FY2026 +3.2%FY2026 +10.3%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +9.6% -0.7% -4.9%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersARXAFLPGR
Held by institutions 54.5% 68.2% 87.2%
Institutions holding 118 1,698 1,822
Change in shares held, QoQ +16.0% +0.6% +0.5%
Institutions buying 80 740 892
Institutions selling 27 580 694
Buyers to sellers 2.96 1.28 1.29

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ARXAFLPGR
ARX 1.00 0.19 0.25
AFL 0.19 1.00 0.39
PGR 0.25 0.39 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ARX, AFL and PGR?

Progressive (PGR) is the largest by market capitalisation: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) $4.32B, Aflac (AFL) $61.58B, Progressive (PGR) $131.43B.

Which stock is cheaper, ARX, AFL and PGR?

Progressive (PGR) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) -3.2x, Aflac (AFL) 12.7x, Progressive (PGR) 11.3x). On next year's consensus earnings, Progressive (PGR) is cheapest (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) 23.0x, Aflac (AFL) 16.6x, Progressive (PGR) 12.9x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) +54.6%, Aflac (AFL) +10.9%, Progressive (PGR) +7.7%.

Which company is more profitable?

Aflac (AFL) has the highest net margin (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) -119.3%, Aflac (AFL) 26.9%). On return on invested capital, Aflac (AFL) leads (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) -179.7%, Aflac (AFL) -2.7%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Accelerant Holdings (ARX) returned the most: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) +58.9%, Aflac (AFL) +12.8%, Progressive (PGR) +4.7%. Over five years, Progressive (PGR) compounded fastest (Aflac (AFL) +16.7%/yr, Progressive (PGR) +19.5%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Aflac (AFL) has been the steadiest (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) 67.5%, Aflac (AFL) 17.6%, Progressive (PGR) 27.7%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, ARX, AFL and PGR?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Progressive (PGR) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.