AERO vs GEO vs UAL Stock Comparison

Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V, Geo and United Airlines Holdings Prices as of Oct 28, 2026 Peers: Industry group
GEO Geo Group Inc
$27.57 -8.8% 1M +65.2% 1Y
Market cap
$3.71B
P/E
12.7x
Revenue (TTM)
$2.83B
Div. yield
–
Facility Services Industrials
4 wins

Head to Head

11 decided of 12

United Airlines Holdings leads on 5 of the 12 questions below (United Airlines Holdings 5, Geo 4, Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionAEROGEOUALLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $2.22B $3.71B $34.32B UAL
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only 13.9x 12.7x 9.6x UAL
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 43.5x 20.6x 14.7x UAL
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +8.8% +15.3% +12.3% GEO
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months 3.6% 10.3% 5.5% GEO
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital — 7.5% 8.9% UAL
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA -0.4x 3.3x 1.5x AERO
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months — +65.2% +8.9% GEO
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years — +27.5%/yr +17.5%/yr GEO
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 54.3% 49.1% 48.0% UAL
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 58/100 55/100 49/100 AERO

Percentile Scorecard

AEROGEOUAL

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisAEROGEOUAL
Valuation 98 #4 of 136 54 #53 of 113 75 #35 of 136
Growth 16 #103 of 122 60 #39 of 96 48 #64 of 122
Profitability 55 #53 of 116 57 #40 of 92 51 #57 of 116
Financial Health 65 #51 of 143 33 #84 of 125 22 #112 of 143
Shareholder Returns – 71 #20 of 67 –
Overall 58 55 49
  • AERO ranked among 150 companies in Transportation
  • GEO ranked among 130 companies in Business Services
  • UAL ranked among 150 companies in Transportation

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodAEROGEOUALSPY
1 month -2.9%-8.8%-7.2% +0.9%
3 months +1.3%-7.9%-13.4% +5.9%
6 months +1.8%+45.5%+16.7% +8.5%
Year to date -30.6%+71.0%-7.5% +13.3%
1 year —+65.2%+8.9% +12.4%
3 years —+213.3%+205.1% +88.1%
3 years, per year —+46.4%+45.1% +23.5%
5 years —+237.0%+124.2% +68.2%
5 years, per year —+27.5%+17.5% +11.0%
10 years —+75.9%+87.7% +263.4%
10 years, per year —+5.8%+6.5% +13.8%

Risk

MeasureAEROGEOUALSPY
Volatility, 1Y 54.3%49.1%48.0% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 56.9%50.6%43.8% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 1.750.832.24 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y —1.330.19 0.98
Max drawdown, 5Y -46.0%-62.5%-49.2% -25.4%
From 52-week high -33.5%-15.9%-24.0% -0.9%
52-week high $22.91$32.78$136.11 $779.14
52-week low $12.36$13.26$85.21 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleAEROGEOUAL
P/E now vs peer median 13.9xmedian 16.1x 12.4xmedian 21.5x 9.4xmedian 16.1x
P/S now vs peer median 0.5xmedian 0.9x 1.3xmedian 0.9x 0.5xmedian 0.9x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median 1.4xmedian 8.6x 11.2xmedian 11.9x 5.7xmedian 8.6x
P/FCF now vs peer median 3.5xmedian 11.6x 138.0xmedian 13.9x 30.1xmedian 11.6x
P/B now vs peer median -3.7xmedian 1.2x 2.4xmedian 2.3x 1.9xmedian 1.2x
PEG now vs peer median —median 0.80 0.48median 0.92 1.14median 0.80

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsAEROGEOUAL
Revenue $4.40B $2.83B $65.55B
Operating income $635.00M $315.54M $4.92B
Net income $120.00M $291.54M $3.58B
Free cash flow $630.00M $26.44M $1.12B
EPS (diluted) $1.09 $2.21 $10.93
Cash & equivalents $965.00M $54.99M $6.65B
Total debt $475.00M $6.34B $26.40B
Shares (diluted) 145.90M 132.02M 327.40M
Enterprise value -$1.85B $3.32B -$23.38B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricAEROGEOUAL
P/E 13.9x 12.4x 9.4x
P/FCF 3.5x 138.0x 30.1x
P/Operating cash flow 3.5x 18.4x 4.1x
P/S 0.5x 1.3x 0.5x
P/B -3.7x 2.4x 1.9x
P/Tangible book -3.7x 2.6x 2.2x
EV/EBITDA 1.4x 11.2x 5.7x
EV/EBIT 2.7x 16.3x 9.2x
EV/Revenue 0.4x 1.8x 0.7x
EV/FCF 2.7x 194.2x 40.6x
EV/Operating cash flow 2.7x 25.8x 5.6x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) – 0.48 1.14

Growth

14 metrics
MetricAEROGEOUAL
Revenue growth (1Y) 8.8% 15.3% 12.3%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) – 5.0% 7.7%
Gross profit growth (1Y) – – –
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – – –
Operating income growth (1Y) -2.6% 11.4% 1.9%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – -7.0% 2.4%
Net income growth (1Y) -38.0% 222.2% 8.6%
Net income CAGR (3Y) – 28.5% 7.7%
EPS growth (1Y) -43.3% 242.8% 8.4%
EPS CAGR (3Y) – 25.6% 8.3%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) – -16.6% -12.9%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) – -4.1% -3.1%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) – -79.8% -69.9%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) – -42.6% -5.8%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricAEROGEOUAL
Gross margin – – –
EBITDA margin 27.6% 16.1% 12.2%
Operating margin 14.4% 11.2% 7.5%
Pretax margin 5.5% 14.0% 6.9%
Net margin 3.6% 10.3% 5.5%
FCF margin 14.3% 0.9% 1.7%
Operating cash flow margin 14.3% 7.0% 12.4%
Return on equity – 19.4% 20.8%
Return on assets 2.9% 7.7% 4.2%
Return on invested capital – 7.5% 8.9%
Return on capital employed 10.0% 9.3% 8.5%
Asset turnover 0.6x 0.7x 0.8x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 5.3x 0.7x 2.3x
Stock comp / revenue – 0.9% –

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricAEROGEOUAL
Debt / assets 6.4% 41.2% 31.0%
Debt / equity -0.8x 1.0x 1.5x
Net debt / EBITDA -0.4x 3.3x 1.5x
Debt / FCF 0.8x 58.3x 23.7x
Liabilities / assets 108.0% 59.5% 79.1%
Equity / assets -8.0% 40.5% 20.9%
Interest coverage 5.8x 2.1x 3.6x
Current ratio 2.0x 1.7x 0.8x
Quick ratio 1.7x 1.5x 0.6x
Cash ratio 0.9x 0.1x 0.6x
Altman Z-score – 2.24 1.37

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricAEROGEOUAL
Dividend yield – – –
Net buyback yield – 4.8% –
Shareholder yield 0.0% 4.8% 0.0%
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusAEROGEOUAL
Forward P/E 43.5xFY2026 20.6xFY2026 14.7xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $0.35FY2026 $1.34FY2026 $7.04FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -85.5%FY2026 +55.8%FY2026 -33.7%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +408.6% +44.8% +75.0%
Revenue, next fiscal year $5.78BFY2026 $3.17BFY2026 $66.54BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +7.8%FY2026 +20.6%FY2026 +12.6%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +15.0% -1.3% +13.5%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersAEROGEOUAL
Held by institutions 65.1% 94.2% 89.6%
Institutions holding 75 292 1,066
Change in shares held, QoQ -1.5% -2.2% +2.4%
Institutions buying 32 151 568
Institutions selling 17 97 341
Buyers to sellers 1.88 1.56 1.67

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

AEROGEOUAL
AERO 1.00 0.03 0.52
GEO 0.03 1.00 0.18
UAL 0.52 0.18 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, AERO, GEO and UAL?

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) is the largest by market capitalisation: Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) $2.22B, Geo (GEO) $3.71B, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) $34.32B.

Which stock is cheaper, AERO, GEO and UAL?

United Airlines Holdings (UAL) trades on the lowest price-to-earnings ratio (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 13.9x, Geo (GEO) 12.7x, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) 9.6x). On next year's consensus earnings, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) is cheapest (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 43.5x, Geo (GEO) 20.6x, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) 14.7x). A lower multiple can reflect slower expected growth, so read it next to the growth figures.

Which company is growing faster?

Geo (GEO) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) +8.8%, Geo (GEO) +15.3%, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) +12.3%.

Which company is more profitable?

Geo (GEO) has the highest net margin (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 3.6%, Geo (GEO) 10.3%, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) 5.5%). On return on invested capital, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) leads (Geo (GEO) 7.5%, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) 8.9%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Geo (GEO) returned the most: Geo (GEO) +65.2%, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) +8.9%. Over five years, Geo (GEO) compounded fastest (Geo (GEO) +27.5%/yr, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) +17.5%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has been the steadiest (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V (AERO) 54.3%, Geo (GEO) 49.1%, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) 48.0%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, AERO, GEO and UAL?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, United Airlines Holdings (UAL) leads on 5. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.