Ufp Industries Inc (NASDAQ: UFPI)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Lumber & Wood Production CIK: 0000912767
Market Cap 6.70 Bn
P/B 9.56
P/E 110.74
P/S 2.45
ROIC (Qtr) 8.28
Div Yield % 0.49
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -5.44
Total Debt (Qtr) 369.26 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12
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About

UFP Industries, Inc., or UFPI, operates as a holding company with subsidiaries spread across various regions, including North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. The company specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying products derived from wood, composites, and other materials to three primary markets: retail, packaging, and construction. UFP's main business activities are structured around its three segments: Retail Solutions, Packaging, and Construction. The Retail Solutions segment encompasses ProWood, Deckorators, and UFP-Edge,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 544.03M provides robust 1.47x coverage of total debt 369.26M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.01B provide 29.62x coverage of short-term debt 34.15M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 544.03M provides exceptional 198.05x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.75M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 544.03M provides exceptional 46.93x coverage of interest expenses 11.59M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 544.03M provides strong 14.05x coverage of stock compensation 38.72M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 544.03M barely covers its investment activities of (310.47M), with a coverage ratio of -1.75, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 544.03M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (82.55M) with a -6.59 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.01B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (47.46M), which is -21.32x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 431.62M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 157.65M, with a 2.74 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 296.76M represents just -7.21x of debt issuance (41.17M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Timing of Transfer of Good or Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Lumber & Wood Production
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SSD Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. 9.01 Bn 48.59 7.29 445.81 Mn
2 UFPI Ufp Industries Inc 6.70 Bn 110.74 2.45 369.26 Mn
3 WFG West Fraser Timber Co., Ltd 5.72 Bn -6.10 1.05 300.00 Mn
4 BCC BOISE CASCADE Co 3.42 Bn -573.80 0.74 512.44 Mn
5 NWGL CL Workshop Group Ltd 0.02 Bn -2.32 1.10 -
6 JCTC Jewett Cameron Trading Co Ltd 0.01 Bn -0.88 0.16 4.23 Mn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.64 1.42
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 102.64 40.00
EV to Debt EV to Debt 18.41 11.71
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 67.39 44.23
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 48.34 14.04
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 294.41 62.95
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.01 1.23
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.48 2.34
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.56 3.83
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 110.74 -70.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.91 1.24
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 25.50 8.42
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.38 0.67
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 27.24 -3.42
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 37.23 -63.26
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -17.72 4.39
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -15.10 -40.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.98 -21.79
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -27.82 -3,191.72
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -20.62 -97.93
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -27.39 -582.35
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -27.82 -587.17
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -25.99 -3,370.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -44.60 -231.19
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -15.60 -7.21
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.56 1.25
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.10 0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.90 0.67
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.49 2.96
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12 -0.01
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 37.23 -63.26
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 37.23 -63.26
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 9.10 2.25
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 6.69 -8.33
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.51 -9.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 16.80 19.48
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.00 -9.98