Toast, Inc. (NYSE: TOST)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0001650164
Market Cap 20.60 Bn
P/B 10.23
P/E 75.45
P/S 3.52
ROIC (Qtr) 12.47
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 25.13
Total Debt (Qtr) 18.00 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01

About

Toast, Inc., a prominent player in the financial technology and digital solutions industry, is publicly recognized by its ticker symbol, TOST. The company is a leading provider of point-of-sale (POS) solutions specifically tailored for the restaurant industry. Toast's mission is to empower the restaurant community to delight their guests, do what they love, and thrive. Toast operates in the restaurant industry, a highly diverse and complex sector marked by low profit margins, high employee turnover, and intricate regulations. The company offers...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 614M provides robust 34.11x coverage of total debt 18M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.84B provides 157.89x coverage of total debt 18M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 564M exceeds capital expenditure of 50M by 11.28x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 2.84B provide exceptional 45.11x coverage of deferred revenue 63M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 614M provides strong 9.75x coverage of deferred revenue 63M, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 614M barely covers its investment activities of (35M), with a coverage ratio of -17.54, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (35M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 370M, which is -0.09x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 614M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 246M, with a 2.50 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 564M represents just -188x of debt issuance (3M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of (1.36B) provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of 3M, which is -454.33x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 3,563.59 Bn 33.97 12.13 60.56 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 561.87 Bn 36.43 9.21 124.39 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 413.65 Bn 377.64 106.17 0.24 Bn
4 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 126.45 Bn 113.19 13.23 0.35 Bn
5 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 116.42 Bn -370.56 25.50 0.82 Bn
6 SNPS Synopsys Inc 86.06 Bn 64.60 12.20 14.29 Bn
7 NET Cloudflare, Inc. 62.78 Bn -609.27 31.18 3.50 Bn
8 FTNT Fortinet, Inc. 60.83 Bn 32.47 9.28 1.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 6.54 2.69
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 31.63 28.91
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1,079.00 19.83
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 70.12 -9.95
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 65.17 6.82
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 34.44 26.09
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.94 0.36
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.32 -9.34
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 10.23 3.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 75.45 -10.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -0.30
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.71
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.68
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 -14.20
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.85 -408.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 78.32 226.39
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 657.14 25.27
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 1,164.29 47.48
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 702.17 20.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 702.17 14.16
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 687.50 67.50
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 122.92 296.60
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 38.78 46.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.97 0.67
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.49 1.22
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.74 2.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 -0.96
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -14.20
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 -14.20
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.70 -548.16
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.73 -199.84
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 4.73 -607.20
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.70 51.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.70 -610.00