Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: SNCY)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Airlines CIK: 0001743907
Market Cap 1.16 Bn
P/B 1.85
P/E 21.92
P/S 1.03
ROIC (Qtr) 6.01
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.89
Total Debt (Qtr) 591.83 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.95
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About

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc., often recognized by its ticker symbol SNCY, operates as a distinctive airline in the transportation industry. The company primarily focuses on offering a hybrid low-cost air carrier model that encompasses scheduled service, charter, and cargo businesses. Its headquarters are located in Minnesota, and it caters to leisure and VFR passengers, charter customers, and Amazon for cargo services. In the airline industry, Sun Country distinguishes itself through its main business activities that involve providing scheduled...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 157.11M provides strong 24.92x coverage of stock compensation 6.30M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 103.23M exceeds capital expenditure of 53.88M by 1.92x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 157.11M provides 4.72x coverage of SG&A expenses 33.30M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 157.11M fully covers other non-current liabilities 145.61M by 1.08x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Operating cash flow of 157.11M provides strong 13.26x coverage of inventory 11.84M, indicating efficient inventory management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 157.11M barely covers its investment activities of (39.01M), with a coverage ratio of -4.03, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • High receivables of 53.72M relative to inventory of 11.84M (4.54 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 107.07M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 98.88M, with a 1.08 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 103.23M represents just -4.32x of debt issuance (23.89M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 98.88M relative to operating cash flow of 157.11M, which is 0.63x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Airlines
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. 45.93 Bn 9.18 0.72 20.27 Bn
2 UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. 37.05 Bn 11.05 0.63 31.04 Bn
3 LUV Southwest Airlines Co 29.18 Bn 66.17 1.04 5.98 Bn
4 AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 9.42 Bn 15.65 0.17 36.06 Bn
5 ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. 6.72 Bn 67.15 0.47 6.89 Bn
6 SKYW Skywest Inc 4.33 Bn 10.12 1.07 2.47 Bn
7 AERO Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. 2.64 Bn 7.49 0.49 4.06 Bn
8 JBLU Jetblue Airways Corp 2.20 Bn -3.66 0.24 9.42 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.95 0.75
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.17 -1.78
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.70 1.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.93 12.70
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.01 -7.83
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 15.48 4.43
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.38 2.37
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.42 1.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.85 0.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 21.92 14.33
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 22,529.03
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.43
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.11
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -2.56
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.90 1.76
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -78.61 -69.47
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 65.26 40.07
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 2.71
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -6.99 -58.97
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -0.76 80.32
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -5.97 -22.88
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 0.92 -112.97
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -1.00 -167.26
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -23.36 2,772.29
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.79 7.74
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.67 0.74
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.37 0.24
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.82 0.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.95 0.61
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.90 1.76
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.90 1.76
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 18.30 5.51
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.50 -0.22
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.23 -3.82
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 31.10 41.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.70 -4.40