Sirius Xm Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI)

Sector: Communication Services Industry: Entertainment CIK: 0000908937
Market Cap 6.86 Bn
P/B 0.59
P/E 6.91
P/S 0.80
ROIC (Qtr) 6.21
Div Yield % 6.60
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.55
Total Debt (Qtr) 10.08 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.87

About

Sirius XM Holdings Inc., commonly known as SiriusXM, is a prominent audio entertainment company based in North America. The company operates two main businesses: Sirius XM and Pandora, as well as Off-platform services. SiriusXM is primarily involved in providing satellite radio services, streaming music and entertainment content, and connected vehicle services to automakers. The company's primary source of revenue is subscription fees from its satellite radio business. SiriusXM offers a wide range of music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk,...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.90B provides strong 10.20x coverage of stock compensation 186M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.22B exceeds capital expenditure of 674M by 1.81x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 11.61B provide full 1.29x coverage of long-term debt 9.02B, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Retained earnings of 11.61B provide strong 9.45x coverage of other current liabilities 1.23B, indicating earnings quality.
  • Free cash flow of 1.22B provides robust 4.65x coverage of R&D expenses 263M, enabling sustainable innovation investment.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.90B barely covers its investment activities of (766M), with a coverage ratio of -2.48, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.90B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (366M) with a -5.18 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (766M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 263M, which is -2.91x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Free cash flow of 1.22B represents just -1.80x of debt issuance (678M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Other non-current liabilities of 2.27B represent a high 0.46x of tangible assets 4.92B, suggesting significant long-term obligations without clear asset backing.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Entertainment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NFLX Netflix Inc 398.09 Bn 38.16 9.18 14.46 Bn
2 DIS Walt Disney Co 204.13 Bn 16.46 2.16 42.03 Bn
3 WBD Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. 70.69 Bn 145.75 1.87 33.52 Bn
4 FWONA Liberty Media Corp 53.12 Bn -399.43 13.15 7.04 Bn
5 LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. 33.40 Bn 103.67 1.36 9.39 Bn
6 FOXA Fox Corp 33.26 Bn 16.34 2.02 6.60 Bn
7 PSKY Paramount Skydance Corp 18.94 Bn -1,353.00 0.66 14.73 Bn
8 TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 17.56 Bn 76.76 4.05 4.04 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.62 1.53
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.94 25.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.68 5.03
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 9.53 165.24
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.30 -156.71
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 13.87 72.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.47 2.12
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.98 6.42
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.59 2.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 6.91 -114.33
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.71 1.03
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 36.50 -17.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.08 0.14
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 29.76 7.73
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.83 -38.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 2.60 -33.75
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -37.80 248.04
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.50 0.52
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 209.05 -100.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 356.86 -28.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 255.59 -85.91
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 179.55 24.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 146.98 18.31
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 36.19 118.70
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.58 30.85
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.31 0.60
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.14 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.45
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.31 1.09
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.87 1.01
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.83 -38.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.83 -38.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 27.50 -65.26
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.81 -79.53
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 15.37 -82.47
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 51.90 35.56
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 11.60 -83.18