Roku, Inc (NASDAQ: ROKU)

Sector: Communication Services Industry: Entertainment CIK: 0001428439
Market Cap 16.07 Bn
P/B 6.12
P/E -580.79
P/S 3.54
ROIC (Qtr) -2.35
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 13.97
Total Debt (Qtr) 457.41 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17

About

Roku, Inc., commonly referred to as Roku, is a leading TV streaming platform in the United States, with a mission to be the global TV streaming platform that connects and benefits the entire TV ecosystem of viewers, content partners, and advertisers. The company, founded in 2002 and headquartered in San Jose, California, is known for its innovative streaming devices, including Roku streaming players and Roku TV models, designed to provide a seamless and enjoyable streaming experience for users. Roku's business model is built on a three-phased approach:...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 455.36M provides robust 1x coverage of total debt 457.40M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 455.36M provides exceptional 258.87x coverage of interest expenses 1.76M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.86B provides 8.43x coverage of total debt 457.40M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 448.71M exceeds capital expenditure of 6.65M by 67.51x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 3.86B provide exceptional 25.65x coverage of deferred revenue 150.35M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 455.36M barely covers its investment activities of (823.74M), with a coverage ratio of -0.55, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (823.74M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 730.24M, which is -1.13x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.58B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (95.09M), which is -16.57x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 745.40M relative to inventory of 140.68M (5.30 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 455.36M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 369.70M, with a 1.23 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Entertainment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NFLX Netflix Inc 398.09 Bn 38.16 9.18 14.46 Bn
2 DIS Walt Disney Co 204.13 Bn 16.46 2.16 42.03 Bn
3 WBD Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. 70.69 Bn 145.75 1.87 33.52 Bn
4 FWONA Liberty Media Corp 53.12 Bn -399.43 13.15 7.04 Bn
5 LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. 33.40 Bn 103.67 1.36 9.39 Bn
6 FOXA Fox Corp 33.26 Bn 16.34 2.02 6.60 Bn
7 PSKY Paramount Skydance Corp 18.94 Bn -1,353.00 0.66 14.73 Bn
8 TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 17.56 Bn 76.76 4.05 4.04 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.25 1.53
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 31.39 25.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 31.25 5.03
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -652.08 165.24
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 62.74 -156.71
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 31.86 72.07
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.89 2.12
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.15 6.42
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.12 2.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -580.79 -114.33
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 1.03
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -17.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.14
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.73
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -12.46 -38.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -8.56 -33.75
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -25.93 248.04
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.52
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 85.06 -100.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 444.11 -28.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 87.10 -85.91
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 86.12 24.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 84.03 18.31
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 201.24 118.70
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 14.40 30.85
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.03 0.60
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.30 0.45
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.74 1.09
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17 1.01
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -12.46 -38.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -12.46 -38.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 7.00 -65.26
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -0.48 -79.53
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -0.52 -82.47
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 43.60 35.56
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -0.60 -83.18