Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE: QSR)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Restaurants CIK: 0001618756
Market Cap 22.43 Bn
P/B 6.64
P/E 24.33
P/S 2.42
ROIC (Qtr) 8.91
Div Yield % 3.54
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 6.90
Total Debt (Qtr) 15.64 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.63

About

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI), a Canadian corporation, is a prominent player in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, with a significant global presence in over 120 countries and territories. The company's annual system-wide sales exceed $40 billion, making it one of the largest QSR companies worldwide. RBI operates as the indirect holding company for the entities that own and franchise the Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs brands. RBI's primary business activities revolve around the ownership and franchising...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.21B provide 10.40x coverage of short-term debt 116M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.64B provides strong 10.19x coverage of stock compensation 161M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.40B exceeds capital expenditure of 240M by 5.83x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 8.32B provides 49.51x coverage of working capital 168M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 8.32B provide robust 4.37x coverage of other current liabilities 1.91B, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.64B barely covers its investment activities of (257M), with a coverage ratio of -6.38, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.64B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.09B) with a -1.51 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.21B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (111M), which is -10.86x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 761M relative to inventory of 216M (3.52 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 1.40B represents just -6.17x of debt issuance (227M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Restaurants
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MCD Mcdonalds Corp 222.05 Bn 26.39 8.45 55.82 Bn
2 SBUX Starbucks Corp 95.51 Bn 51.45 2.57 26.61 Bn
3 CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc 50.94 Bn 33.15 4.32 4.98 Bn
4 YUM Yum Brands Inc 43.17 Bn 29.83 5.36 11.55 Bn
5 QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. 22.43 Bn 24.33 2.42 15.64 Bn
6 DRI Darden Restaurants Inc 21.91 Bn 19.91 1.77 6.16 Bn
7 YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. 18.12 Bn 20.05 1.57 1.84 Bn
8 DPZ Dominos Pizza Inc 14.57 Bn 24.72 3.01 5.05 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.45 2.05
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 22.67 16.57
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.38 4.75
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 20.09 3.45
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.83 9.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 26.55 29.06
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.66 6.55
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.01 2.40
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.64 -1.40
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 24.33 13.35
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.85 -9.56
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 86.20 18.72
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.44 0.84
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 57.17 30.41
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.52 -86.85
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -40.35 -24.56
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 2.55 35.50
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.55 -0.72
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -34.45 -564.81
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.77 25.78
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 10.18 -507.68
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 22.03 -41.98
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -29.95 -126.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 11.64 5,724.78
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 4.48 23.70
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.36 0.99
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.58 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.42 0.78
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.06 1.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.63 0.05
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.52 -86.85
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.52 -86.85
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 23.20 7.71
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 19.97 -2.27
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 14.29 -1.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 48.40 34.04
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 10.00 -3.69