Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: PDLB)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001874071
Market Cap 371.94 Mn
P/B 0.70
P/E 18.26
P/S 3.84
ROIC (Qtr) 1.99
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 29.23
Total Debt (Qtr) 551.13 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.04

About

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) operates in the financial services industry, with a focus on serving the Hispanic and immigrant communities in the New York metropolitan area. The company's primary business activities include taking deposits from the general public and investing those deposits in mortgage loans, business and consumer loans, and securities. Ponce Financial Group's operations are primarily centered around mortgage lending, business lending, and consumer lending. In mortgage lending, the company offers a range of mortgage products,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.16B provides 5.73x coverage of total debt 551.13M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 43.52M provides strong 11.01x coverage of stock compensation 3.95M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 42.03M exceeds capital expenditure of 1.49M by 28.23x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 43.52M provides strong 2.86x coverage of operating expenses 15.20M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 42.03M provides 0.80x coverage of SG&A expenses 52.44M, indicating efficient cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 43.52M barely covers its investment activities of (174.82M), with a coverage ratio of -0.25, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Free cash flow of 42.03M represents just -0.71x of debt issuance (59.32M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 125.48M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (11.59M), which is -10.83x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 52.44M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Deposit liabilities of 2.06B significantly exceed cash reserves of 146.58M, which is 14.07x, indicating potential liquidity risk in stress scenarios.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.26 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 18.91 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.49 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 28.18 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 24.18 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 19.58 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.21 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.50 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.70 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 18.26 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 18.09 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 34.78 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -5.93 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 151.26 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 100.85 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 139.70 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 139.70 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 136.84 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 323.64 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 20.94 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.04 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 35.10 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 30.15 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 30.15 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 21.00 115.63