PagerDuty, Inc. (NYSE: PD)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001568100
Market Cap 1.15 Bn
P/B 3.57
P/E 7.52
P/S 2.34
ROIC (Qtr) -21.41
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.71
Total Debt (Qtr) 408.53 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.27

About

PagerDuty, Inc., often recognized by its ticker symbol PD, operates in the digital operations management industry. The company is a leading provider of a cloud-first platform designed to manage contemporary digital services, offering real-time views while incorporating intelligent noise reduction to remove false positives. PagerDuty's platform integrates AIOps, Automation, Incident Management, and Customer Service Operations into a flexible, resilient, and scalable solution. This platform is built on a range of attributes, including its real-time...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 324.26M provide 79.03x coverage of short-term debt 4.10M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.85M provides exceptional 51.96x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.33M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.85M provides exceptional 13.25x coverage of interest expenses 9.12M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 108.71M exceeds capital expenditure of 12.14M by 8.96x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash position of 324.26M provides exceptional 139.41x coverage of minority interest expenses 2.33M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 120.85M barely covers its investment activities of (17.29M), with a coverage ratio of -6.99, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (17.29M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 128.97M, which is -0.13x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.85M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 223.04M, which is 0.54x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 120.85M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 103.42M, with a 1.17 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 120.85M provides minimal -0.80x coverage of tax expenses of (150.28M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.18 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.05 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.97 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 86.22 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 178.65 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 11.17 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.06 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.48 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.57 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 7.52 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 50.61 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.54 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -31.81 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -0.67 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 936.11 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 111.87 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 127.40 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 108.19 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 302.47 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 9.33 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 9.43 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.48 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.17 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.37 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.27 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.54 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.54 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 6.40 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 2.88 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.01 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 84.40 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 31.10 -121.65