Otter Tail Corp (NASDAQ: OTTR)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Conglomerates CIK: 0001466593
Market Cap 3.60 Bn
P/B 3.63
P/E 20.35
P/S 3.01
ROIC (Qtr) 10.41
Div Yield % 2.49
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.69
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.04 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.57
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About

Otter Tail Corporation (OTC), also known as OTTR, operates in the electric utility and manufacturing industries. Headquartered in Fergus Falls, Minnesota, the company has a presence in western Minnesota, eastern North Dakota, and northeastern South Dakota. Otter Tail's operations are divided into three segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics. The Electric segment is the largest, accounting for approximately 39% of the company's operating revenues in 2023. This segment includes the generation, transmission, and distribution of electric...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 418.90M provides robust 0.40x coverage of total debt 1.04B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 418.90M provides strong 43.85x coverage of stock compensation 9.55M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.80B provides 3.64x coverage of total debt 1.04B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 418.90M provides 5.20x coverage of SG&A expenses 80.61M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 418.90M provides solid 2.03x coverage of current liabilities 206.36M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 418.90M barely covers its investment activities of (315.22M), with a coverage ratio of -1.33, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 418.90M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (85.62M) with a -4.89 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 106.68M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 312.23M, with a 0.34 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of 418.90M is outpaced by equity issuance of (3.13M) (-133.66 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 323.79M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Conglomerates
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 HON Honeywell International Inc 155.07 Bn 32.79 4.14 34.58 Bn
2 MMM 3M Co 100.16 Bn 20.62 3.16 12.60 Bn
3 VMI Valmont Industries Inc 11.52 Bn 79.14 5.93 0.86 Bn
4 SEB Seaboard Corp /De/ 4.74 Bn 9.55 0.49 1.82 Bn
5 MDU Mdu Resources Group Inc 3.80 Bn 15.84 0.97 2.35 Bn
6 OTTR Otter Tail Corp 3.60 Bn 20.35 3.01 1.04 Bn
7 BBU Brookfield Business Partners L.P. 2.64 Bn -19.71 0.10 43.31 Bn
8 TTI Tetra Technologies Inc 1.44 Bn 11.77 2.33 0.21 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.16 1.07
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 19.28 26.27
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.27 3.17
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 17.79 28.37
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.07 2.98
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 75.03 24.12
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.24 2.07
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.72 3.10
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.63 0.16
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 20.35 -51.36
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.26 2.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 30.60 16.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.04 1.03
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 80.21 -1.97
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.09 4.08
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 1.52 -245.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 16.34 116.15
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 11.03 -1.11
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -5.76 233.90
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -5.65 6.29
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -10.68 58.90
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -13.19 -70.32
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -8.50 179.10
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 16.28 22.76
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.27 19.56
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.34 0.64
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 -0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.58 0.34
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.57 1.70
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.57 -5.62
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.09 4.08
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.09 4.08
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.40 -14.03
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 28.43 -16.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 24.92 -20.17
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 41.70 21.90
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 21.50 -21.67