OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0001044777
Market Cap 501.15 Mn
P/B 2.10
P/E 8.62
P/S 2.08
ROIC (Qtr) 14.96
Div Yield % 3.66
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.45
Total Debt (Qtr) 6.45 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03

About

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) operates in the digital transaction and agreement space, providing security, identity, electronic signature, and digital workflow solutions to various industries. These industries include banking, financial services, healthcare, and professional services. The company's solutions are designed to automate and secure customer-facing and revenue-generating business processes, ensuring the integrity of people and records associated with digital agreements, transactions, and interactions. OneSpan generates revenue primarily through...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 59.31M provides robust 9.19x coverage of total debt 6.45M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 231.25M provides 35.85x coverage of total debt 6.45M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 51.32M exceeds capital expenditure of 7.99M by 6.42x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 231.25M provides 3.43x coverage of working capital 67.50M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Retained earnings of 170.94M provide full 26.50x coverage of long-term debt 6.45M, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 59.31M barely covers its investment activities of (21.99M), with a coverage ratio of -2.70, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 59.31M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (13.88M) with a -4.27 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (21.99M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 34.46M, which is -0.64x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 85.55M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (13.94M), which is -6.14x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 59.31M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 53.35M, which is 1.11x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 3,563.59 Bn 33.97 12.13 60.56 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 561.87 Bn 36.43 9.21 124.39 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 413.65 Bn 377.64 106.17 0.24 Bn
4 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 126.45 Bn 113.19 13.23 0.35 Bn
5 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 116.42 Bn -370.56 25.50 0.82 Bn
6 SNPS Synopsys Inc 86.06 Bn 64.60 12.20 14.29 Bn
7 NET Cloudflare, Inc. 62.78 Bn -609.27 31.18 3.50 Bn
8 FTNT Fortinet, Inc. 60.83 Bn 32.47 9.28 1.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.21 2.69
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.00 28.91
EV to Debt EV to Debt 64.38 19.83
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 8.24 -9.95
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.27 6.82
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 8.09 26.09
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.83 0.36
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.72 -9.34
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.10 3.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 8.62 -10.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.19 -0.30
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 23.70 2.71
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.36 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 26.75 1.68
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -14.20
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 25.48 -408.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 9.93 226.39
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 102.36 25.27
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 33.35 47.48
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 46.83 20.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 46.83 14.16
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 105.41 67.50
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 44.07 296.60
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 3.24 46.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.70 0.67
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.21 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.95 1.22
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.75 2.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03 -0.96
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -14.20
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -14.20
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 24.80 -548.16
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.87 -199.84
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 20.87 -607.20
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 73.90 51.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 24.10 -610.00