NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: NWE)

Sector: Utilities Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric CIK: 0001993004
Market Cap 4.25 Bn
P/B 1.47
P/E 23.48
P/S 2.64
ROIC (Qtr) 9.79
Div Yield % 3.81
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.92
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.44 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.19
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About

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) operates in the energy infrastructure sector, providing essential services to customers in Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska. The company's operations are divided into two segments: electric utility operations and natural gas utility operations. NorthWestern Energy's electric utility operations involve the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. In Montana, the company's subsidiary, NW Corp, handles these operations through a transmission system directly interconnected with Avista Corporation,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 394.45M provides strong 56.47x coverage of stock compensation 6.99M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 8.09B provide robust 26.02x coverage of other current liabilities 310.99M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Strong free cash flow of (130M) provides 3.62x coverage of acquisition spending (35.94M), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Operating cash flow of 394.45M provides strong 2.98x coverage of inventory 132.51M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Retained earnings of 896.72M provide strong 2.44x coverage of intangibles 367.63M, indicating quality earnings retention.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 394.45M barely covers its investment activities of (570.63M), with a coverage ratio of -0.69, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 30.74M against inventory of 132.51M, the 0.23 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 394.45M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (161.39M) with a -2.44 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 30.74M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (35.94M), which is -0.86x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of (130M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 524.46M, with a -0.25 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Utilities - Regulated Electric
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NEE Nextera Energy Inc 191.44 Bn 28.01 6.98 95.62 Bn
2 SO Southern Co 97.42 Bn 30.98 4.46 73.75 Bn
3 AEP American Electric Power Co Inc 64.38 Bn 33.83 4.24 0.00 Bn
4 DUK Duke Energy CORP 56.47 Bn 30.61 3.87 89.65 Bn
5 EXC Exelon Corp 48.53 Bn 17.53 2.00 50.08 Bn
6 ETR Entergy Corp /De/ 45.74 Bn 25.29 3.59 30.45 Bn
7 PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Inc 43.93 Bn 35.35 4.41 23.51 Bn
8 XEL Xcel Energy Inc 41.10 Bn 37.21 3.75 35.52 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.89 1.01
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 19.08 12.45
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.19 171.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.27 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.08 15.67
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -57.88 -28.25
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.77 1.84
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.67 4.72
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.47 2.60
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 23.48 18.53
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.12 1.94
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 89.50 62.23
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.64 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -124.65 -218.37
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.25 2.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 4.51 -68.90
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 5.93 73.92
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.54 4.05
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -9.77 15.47
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.43 13.33
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -2.43 15.81
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -12.63 19.29
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -19.40 21.26
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 8.77 -35.52
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 11.18 11.97
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.19 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.18 0.11
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.98
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.72 2.72
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.19 1.45
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.25 2.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.25 2.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 36.50 37.94
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.98 316.94
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.65 14.36
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 74.60 41.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 11.20 12.57