Cloudflare, Inc. (NYSE: NET)

$216.29 +4.51 (+2.13%)
As of Apr 07, 2026 04:01 PM
Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0001477333
Market Cap 7.45 Bn
P/E -743.07
P/S 3.44
Div. Yield 0.00
ROIC (Qtr) -0.08
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.29 Bn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr) 33.60
Add ratio to table...

About

Cloudflare, Inc., often referred to as Cloudflare, is a technology company that operates under the ticker symbol NET. It is dedicated to building a better internet by offering a variety of products and services that help businesses of all sizes secure, accelerate, and optimize their online presence. Cloudflare's main business activities include providing a range of products and services that cater to the needs of businesses, developers, and individuals. These services include website and application security, performance, and reliability solutions,...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Cloudflare’s fourth‑quarter revenue of $614.5 million grew 34% from the prior year, a rate that has been sustained across all four quarters of 2025. The company’s ability to lock in large, high‑value contracts—exceeding $100,000 annually for 4,298 customers—highlights a solid enterprise pipeline that is not only growing in quantity but also in average revenue per account. This expansion is driven by the firm’s strategic shift from a product‑led to a sales‑engineered model, which has produced a record number of $1 million‑plus ACV bookings in a single quarter. The momentum is further reinforced by the company’s ability to convert smaller developer‑tier users into paying enterprise clients, thereby widening the base of high‑margin revenue.
  • The dollar‑based net retention rate of 120% represents a 9% annual increase and underscores the company’s ability to both cross‑sell and upsell to existing customers while maintaining high churn protection. Retention above 100% is a strong indicator that the firm’s network and security stack are viewed as essential, especially by large customers who require multi‑vendor architectures for resilience. The company’s ability to generate this level of expansion from existing customers mitigates the need for expensive prospecting and acquisition spend, thereby preserving margin integrity.
  • AI agents are positioned as the next generation of Internet users, and Cloudflare’s edge network is the natural platform for low‑latency, secure inference that these agents demand. The CEO’s emphasis on the “agentic Internet” as a fundamental re‑platforming indicates that growth expectations are anchored in a structural shift that will only accelerate over the next decade. Early adopters such as large AI and media firms have already leveraged Cloudflare Workers for code execution, showcasing the product’s ability to handle massive, dynamic workloads. As the ecosystem of AI tools expands, the volume of traffic that must be routed through Cloudflare’s network is expected to rise proportionally, creating a virtuous flywheel that drives both usage and revenue.
  • Cloudflare Workers has moved from a niche developer tool to a core enterprise offering, as evidenced by the record signing of a $42.5 million annual contract for a leading AI firm. The platform’s ability to run isolated, sandboxed code at the edge reduces the latency that AI models require for inference, making it a compelling choice over traditional hyperscalers that lack the same level of network proximity. The fact that these deals are signed by firms that previously relied on hyperscalers illustrates the unique value proposition Workers brings, which translates directly into higher average revenue per account.
  • The strategic partnership with Mastercard to combine Recorded Future and RiskRecon attack‑surface monitoring with Cloudflare’s application security portfolio opens a new revenue stream focused on small businesses, critical infrastructure, and governments. By offering a unified solution that can discover and remediate hidden vulnerabilities in real time, Cloudflare taps into a market that has historically been underserved by large CDN vendors. The partnership leverages Mastercard’s brand credibility while extending Cloudflare’s reach into sectors that are increasingly targeted by cyber threats, positioning the firm to capture a new wave of defensive spending.

Bear case

  • The concentration of revenue in large customers—who account for 73% of total revenue—poses a significant risk. While these customers bring high margins, their retention is highly sensitive to economic cycles and competitive pressure from hyperscalers that may offer bundled services at lower total cost of ownership. Any macroeconomic slowdown that forces enterprises to cut spending could result in churn or downgrades that disproportionately impact Cloudflare’s top line.
  • Cloudflare’s pool‑of‑funds model introduces inherent revenue volatility that can obscure the true performance of the business. The variable nature of this revenue stream, which depends on future usage rather than fixed contracts, means that quarterly earnings can swing dramatically based on customer adoption patterns. The CFO’s disclosure of this volatility highlights a risk that could complicate earnings guidance and investor expectations.
  • The firm’s growth narrative is heavily tied to the adoption of AI agents, a technology that remains nascent and subject to regulatory scrutiny. Any shift in government policy—such as tighter data‑privacy rules for AI or restrictions on autonomous agents—could curb the growth of traffic that is central to Cloudflare’s projected revenue expansion. The company’s reliance on this single growth vector adds an element of speculative risk.
  • Cloudflare faces intense competition from major hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) and specialized CDN providers (Fastly, Akamai). These competitors possess deep financial resources, broader service portfolios, and entrenched customer relationships that could erode Cloudflare’s market share, particularly as hyperscalers expand their own edge and security offerings. The competitive pressure may force Cloudflare to discount its services, compressing margins.
  • The company’s history of outages, most notably the November 2025 disruption that prevented access to major platforms like X and ChatGPT, raises concerns about the reliability of its network. Any future outage could erode customer confidence, trigger SLA penalties, and result in churn. As a critical infrastructure provider, even brief service interruptions can have outsized reputational damage.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Long-Term Debt, Type Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 2,762.99 Bn 23.17 9.05 40.26 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 410.98 Bn 25.12 6.41 124.72 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 358.70 Bn 217.41 80.15 -
4 MDB MongoDB, Inc. 201.71 Bn -292.00 81.87 -
5 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 119.05 Bn 90.56 12.03 -
6 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 106.96 Bn -649.48 22.23 0.75 Bn
7 VRSN Verisign Inc/Ca 97.79 Bn 31.14 59.03 1.79 Bn
8 SNPS Synopsys Inc 76.17 Bn 60.47 9.51 10.04 Bn